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Millwall
Millwall
Lincoln City
Millwall
Millwall
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Millwall
Millwall
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Millwall
Lincoln City
Millwall
Millwall
Millwall
Millwall
Lincoln City
Millwall
Millwall
Alex Neil
Millwall
Lincoln City
Millwall
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lincoln City
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Millwall 2-2 Lincoln City.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
86'
Attempt blocked. D. Mazou-Sacko (Millwall), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
82'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
77'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
68'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
65'
Attempt missed. R. Hackett-Fairchild (Lincoln City), left-footed shot. xG 0.76.
62'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
58'
Attempt missed. R. Hackett-Fairchild (Lincoln City), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
57'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
52'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
50'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
49'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Millwall 0-2 Lincoln City.
45+1'
Attempt saved. D. Mazou-Sacko (Millwall), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
45+1'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
43'
Attempt blocked. R. Hackett-Fairchild (Lincoln City), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.
42'
Millwall
Offside, Millwall.
41'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
40'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
38'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
33'
Goal! Millwall 0-2 Lincoln City. R. Street (Lincoln City) scores, assisted by S. Bradley.
32'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
31'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
25'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
25'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
20'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
16'
Lincoln City
Offside, Lincoln City.
10'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
6'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
1'
Kick-off: Millwall vs Lincoln City.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
330444 EUR · live
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
55.0%
+51.9 vs price
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
23.5%
+15.8 vs price
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
21.5%
-71.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19570 EUR · live
Over
1.56 · implied 64.1%
71.5%
+7.4 vs price
Under
2.8 · implied 35.7%
28.5%
-7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
629 EUR
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
97.8%
+9.3 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
2.1%
-8.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
A. Coubiș0–1
33'
⚽
R. Street · assist S. Bradley0–2
35'
R. Street · Argument
35'
T. Crama · Foul
41'
F. Draper · Time wasting
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
L. Cundle ◂ M. Sykes
46'
🔁
M. Crocombe ◂ F. Marschall
48'
J. Cooper · Foul
63'
⚽
K. Lisbie1–2
66'
🔁
D. Oyegoke ◂ R. Hackett-Fairchild
69'
A. Coubiș · Time wasting
72'
🔁
R. Leonard ◂ T. Crama
72'
🔁
R. Esse ◂ J. Metcalfe
72'
K. Lisbie · Argument
80'
🔁
Z. Lovelace ◂ K. Lisbie
80'
🔁
C. Elder ◂ D. Jefferies
80'
🔁
R. Towler ◂ A. Reach
82'
⚽
J. Cooper2–2
84'
D. Elerewe · Professional foul last man
86'
Z. Sturge · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
C. Elder · Argument
90'+1
R. Leonard · Argument
90'+2
C. Neghli · Foul
90'+3
🔁
M. Ladefoged ◂ F. Draper
Coaches
Alex NeilChris Cohen 
Recent form
MillwallLHSwansea City0-1
WAPreston North End1-0
DHWest Ham United2-2
DAMiddlesbrough2-2
LABlackburn Rovers1-3
Lincoln CityLHWest Ham United0-6
LASheffield United0-3
LHSwansea City1-2
WABristol City1-0
WAPreston North End1-0
About this match
**Millwall's Den is no picnic — and Lincoln are limping in after a proper mauling from West Ham.** This feels like a home banker waiting to happen. 🏴
Millwall have steadied the ship lately (1W 2D from their last three), while Lincoln are spiraling down the table with back-to-back heavy defeats. Missing key bodies on both sides, but Millwall's injury list is more manageable — and they've got the fortress advantage at The Den.
Key storylines:
- **Millwall's midfield control** with J. Metcalfe and C. Neghli needs to dominate possession and set the tempo early
- **Lincoln's fragile defence** under pressure; D. Elerewe and R. Towler will face constant bombardment from L. Dykes and M. Sykes
- **Home fortress mentality** — The Den crowd typically lifts the Lions when facing struggling visitors
Expected lineups:
- **Millwall**: M. Crocombe, J. Cooper, C. Taylor, D. Batth, Z. Sturge, J. Metcalfe, C. Neghli, L. Dykes, M. Sykes, R. Esse, T. Arconte
- **Lincoln City**: G. Wickens, A. Reach, D. Elerewe, R. Towler, D. Oyegoke, Y. Konak, C. McGrandles, D. Jefferies, F. Draper, B. House, R. Hackett-Fairchild
Prediction:
**Millwall 2–0 Lincoln City**
Solid home win. Lincoln are too leaky right now, and the Lions should cash in.
Where to watch
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
TV2 PlayViaplay
V Sport ExtraViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
The Den
City
London
Kickoff
17 Oct, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Millwall
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lincoln City
15
M. Crocombe
6.8
↑ 46'
18
R. Leonard
6.5
↑ 72'
6
C. Taylor
7.2
5
J. Cooper
9.3
3
Z. Sturge
6.1
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
6.5
11
R. Esse
6.6
↑ 72'
25
L. Cundle
7.2
↑ 46'
10
C. Neghli
6.8
29
Z. Lovelace
6.7
↑ 80'
13
L. Dykes
6.6
1
G. Wickens
7.2
4
A. Coubiș
7.8
25
D. Elerewe
5.8
15
S. Bradley
7.3
6
R. Towler
6.1
↑ 80'
26
Y. Konak
6.7
24
V. Ivan
6.7
33
D. Oyegoke
6.2
↑ 66'
17
R. Street
7.7
20
C. Elder
6.4
↑ 80'
11
M. Ladefoged
↑ 90'
Substitutes
34GF. Marschall↓ 46'5.1
4DT. Crama↓ 72'6.4
12DE. Baggott
2DJ. Osei-Tutu
22MK. Lisbie↓ 80'7.8
14MJ. Metcalfe↓ 72'6.4
17MM. Sykes↓ 46'6.3
16MD. Kelly
45MA. Doughty
Coach: Alex Neil
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
3DA. Reach↓ 80'6.5
7MR. Hackett-Fairchild↓ 66'6.8
16MD. Jefferies↓ 80'6.3
23MJ. Honohan
8MT. Bayliss
34FF. Draper↓ 90'6.0
19FT. Olaofe
27FC. Ogbene
Coach: Chris Cohen
Top stats
69%Possession31%
2.12Expected goals (xG)1.32
18Total shots9
6Shots on target3
4Big chances2
12Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target4
7Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork2
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
-1.72Goals prevented1.19
Attack
31Touches in box22
75Final third entries43
1Offsides6
10Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
391Passes179
294Accurate passes94
31/67 (46%)Long balls14/57 (25%)
9/38 (24%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
26Throw-ins27
Duels
52Duels48
30/64 (47%)Ground duels34/64 (53%)
31/54 (57%)Aerial duels23/54 (43%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)
8Dispossessed10
Defending
16Tackles13
50Tackles won62
4Interceptions3
32Clearances54
44Recoveries37
Discipline
14Fouls10
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
7Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Millwall to win 59% · 2.00 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.29 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.05 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 23% · 2.66 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ betfair
Who winsMillwall to win (DNB) 53% · 1.29 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.85 @ 1xBet
1X2Lincoln to win 18% · 5.05 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.60
Millwall
4.00
Draw
5.25
Lincoln City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Millwall or Draw
1.22
Millwall or Lincoln City
2.25
Draw or Lincoln City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.71
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
1.99
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.98
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.29
Millwall
3.40
Lincoln City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
5.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.50
Over 9.50
2.40
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50
1.85
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.40
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Millwall to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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