Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Norwich are in freefall, and Portsmouth smell blood.** The Canaries haven't won in five, while Pompey just strung together back-to-back results — this is a **statement moment** for the visitors. 🔴
Norwich's injury crisis is real: **McLean, Touré, Diallo, Ahmed and Forsyth** all out. That's a lot of grit missing from a side that looks brittle. Portsmouth aren't fully healthy either, but they're moving in the right direction — **2W 2D in their last five** suggests some steel.
Key storylines:
- **Norwich's collapse at home** needs stopping fast; Carrow Road hasn't been a fortress this season
- **Portsmouth's momentum** — a side clicking after mixed results earlier, now winning games on the road
- **Injury toll on both sides**, but Norwich's absences bite harder; **Kvistgaarden and Brooks** will need to carry creative load
Expected lineups:
- **Norwich City**: D. Grimshaw, B. Chrisene, R. McConville, J. Córdoba, J. Stacey, P. Mattsson, J. Wright, O. Schwartau, A. B. Slimane, A. Brooks, M. Kvistgaarden
- **Portsmouth**: N. Schmid, J. Meghoma, M. Dia, R. Poole, Z. Swanson, M. Pack, T. Devlin, R. K.-McQueen, A. Segecic, A. Kamara, C. Bishop
Prediction: **1-2 Portsmouth** — Norwich's form is toxic, and Pompey have the shape and hunger to nick it away from home. 📉
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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