Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**West Brom's chasing momentum at home, but Blackburn's on a roll** — this one's got all the makings of a proper Championship scrap. 🔥
West Brom have found their feet with back-to-back wins, though that Birmingham loss stings. Blackburn swagger in on three victories in five, looking like they've figured something out. The head-to-head is basically a coin flip (7-8 wins, 11 draws), so whoever shows up sharper will nick it.
Key storylines:
- **West Brom's home advantage** could be the difference here, but they'll need to avoid going flat like they did against Wolverhampton and Birmingham
- **Blackburn's defensive shape** with Tóth, McLoughlin, Atcheson, and Carter has tightened up recently — keep an eye on how **West Brom's attack** (Molumby, Heggebø, Stewart) breaks them down
- **Missing Johnston is a blow**, but Blackburn's loss of Ribeiro also stings; neither team is at full strength
Expected lineups:
- **West Bromwich Albion**: O'Leary, Styles, Campbell, Phillips, Mepham, Price, Diakité, Morgan, Molumby, Heggebø, Stewart
- **Blackburn Rovers**: Tóth, McLoughlin, Atcheson, Carter, Pickering, Morishita, Morsy, Afolayan, Montgomery, Alebiousu, Cantwell
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both sides have just enough quality to frustrate, but neither pulls away. Slight edge to the home crowd, but this feels like a share of the spoils.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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