Wrexham 4-1 Preston North End: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Wrexham 4-1 Preston North End.

90+3'

Preston North End

Offside, Preston North End.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

S. Smith

Substitution, Wrexham: L. O'Brien comes on for S. Smith.

87'

B. Potts

Attempt missed. B. Potts (Preston North End), header. xG 0.12.

84'

S. Smith

Attempt blocked. S. Smith (Wrexham), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

83'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

81'

M. James

Substitution, Wrexham: G. Dobson comes on for M. James.

81'

K. Moore

Substitution, Wrexham: B. Cadamarteri comes on for K. Moore.

81'

C. O'Hare

Substitution, Wrexham: O. Rathbone comes on for C. O'Hare.

80'

L. Leroy

Yellow card for L. Leroy (Preston North End) for foul.

80'

C. Doyle

Yellow card for C. Doyle (Wrexham) for persistent fouling.

79'

A. Devine

Substitution, Preston North End: E. Nolan comes on for A. Devine.

75'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

75'

C. O'Hare

Attempt blocked. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

70'

B. Potts

Attempt blocked. B. Potts (Preston North End), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

70'

B. Potts

Attempt blocked. B. Potts (Preston North End), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

70'

C. Lang

Substitution, Preston North End: J. Erabi comes on for C. Lang.

69'

J. Kenny

Substitution, Preston North End: D. Burgzorg comes on for J. Kenny.

68'

A. Devine

Attempt blocked. A. Devine (Preston North End), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

68'

D. Imray

Substitution, Wrexham: I. Kaboré comes on for D. Imray.

66'

J. Thompson

Yellow card for J. Thompson (Preston North End) for foul.

65'

A. Devine

Attempt blocked. A. Devine (Preston North End), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

63'

K. Moore

Goal! Wrexham 4-1 Preston North End. K. Moore (Wrexham) scores, assisted by J. Worrall.

63'

J. Worrall

Attempt missed. J. Worrall (Wrexham), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

62'

A. Hughes

Yellow card for A. Hughes (Preston North End) for foul.

61'

Wrexham

Offside, Wrexham.

59'

S. Smith

Goal! Wrexham 3-1 Preston North End. S. Smith (Wrexham) scores, assisted by B. Whiteman.

59'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

58'

B. Potts

Attempt missed. B. Potts (Preston North End), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

56'

L. Lindsay

Substitution, Preston North End: B. Potts comes on for L. Lindsay.

53'

Preston North End

Offside, Preston North End.

52'

C. O'Hare

Attempt blocked. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

50'

Wrexham

Offside, Wrexham.

47'

J. Kenny

Attempt missed. J. Kenny (Preston North End), header. xG 0.14.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Wrexham 2-1 Preston North End.

45+2'

C. O'Hare

Attempt blocked. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), right-footed shot. xG 0.33.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

C. Doyle

Attempt blocked. C. Doyle (Wrexham), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

44'

K. Moore

Attempt missed. K. Moore (Wrexham), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

44'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

43'

Preston North End

Offside, Preston North End.

42'

B. Whiteman

Goal! Wrexham 2-1 Preston North End. B. Whiteman (Wrexham) scores.

41'

C. O'Hare

Attempt missed. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

36'

A. Devine

Goal! Wrexham 1-1 Preston North End. A. Devine (Preston North End) scores.

36'

J. Kenny

Attempt blocked. J. Kenny (Preston North End), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

34'

J. Kenny

Attempt missed. J. Kenny (Preston North End), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

31'

J. Worrall

Goal! Wrexham 1-0 Preston North End. J. Worrall (Wrexham) scores, assisted by D. Imray.

30'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

30'

S. Smith

Attempt saved. S. Smith (Wrexham), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

27'

Preston North End

Corner, Preston North End.

24'

K. Moore

Attempt missed. K. Moore (Wrexham), header from a corner. xG 0.19.

23'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

23'

C. O'Hare

Attempt saved. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

21'

B. Whiteman

Yellow card for B. Whiteman (Wrexham) for foul.

14'

J. Worrall

Attempt missed. J. Worrall (Wrexham), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

14'

Wrexham

Offside, Wrexham.

13'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

12'

B. Whiteman

Attempt blocked. B. Whiteman (Wrexham), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

12'

C. O'Hare

Attempt blocked. C. O'Hare (Wrexham), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

12'

Wrexham

Corner, Wrexham.

9'

A. Vukčević

Yellow card for A. Vukčević (Preston North End) for foul.

2'

A. Hughes

Attempt missed. A. Hughes (Preston North End), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: Wrexham vs Preston North End.

Where the money is

215594 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 127307 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.6%

-9.4 vs price

Draw 350.0 · implied 0.3%

5.3%

+5.0 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.1%

+5.0 vs price

Half time 610 EUR · live

Away 7.6 · implied 13.2%

52.3%

+39.1 vs price

Home 3.1 · implied 32.3%

47.4%

+15.1 vs price

Draw 2.16 · implied 46.3%

0.2%

-46.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 45812 EUR · live

Over 1.24 · implied 80.6%

69.9%

-10.7 vs price

Under 5.0 · implied 20.0%

30.1%

+10.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1087 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

61.8%

-35.3 vs price

Over 23.0 · implied 4.3%

38.1%

+33.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

9' A. Vukčević · Foul

21' B. Whiteman · Foul

31' ⚽ J. Worrall · assist D. Imray1–0

36' ⚽ A. Devine1–1

42' ⚽ B. Whiteman2–1

Half-time · 2–1

56' 🔁 B. Potts ◂ L. Lindsay

59' ⚽ S. Smith · assist B. Whiteman3–1

62' A. Hughes · Foul

63' ⚽ K. Moore · assist J. Worrall4–1

66' J. Thompson · Foul

68' 🔁 I. Kaboré ◂ D. Imray

69' 🔁 D. Burgzorg ◂ J. Kenny

70' 🔁 J. Erabi ◂ C. Lang

79' 🔁 E. Nolan ◂ A. Devine

80' L. Leroy · Foul

80' C. Doyle · Persistent fouling

81' 🔁 O. Rathbone ◂ C. O'Hare

81' 🔁 B. Cadamarteri ◂ K. Moore

81' 🔁 G. Dobson ◂ M. James

Full-time · 4–1

90' 🔁 L. O'Brien ◂ S. Smith

Coaches

Phil Parkinson

Graham Alexander

Recent form

Wrexham

LHWest Bromwich Albion1-2

DADerby County1-1

WHSouthampton2-1

LAWest Ham United0-6

DHBurnley1-1

Preston North End

LABirmingham City0-4

LHMillwall0-1

DAQueens Park Rangers2-2

LHLincoln City0-1

LAWatford1-2

About this match

**Wrexham are absolutely rolling, and Preston are a complete mess.** This should be a statement win for the hosts. 🔴

Wrexham have picked up **2 wins and 2 draws** in their last five, including a gutsy comeback beat on Southampton. Preston, meanwhile, are in freefall — **0 wins in their last five matches** and just got hammered 4-0 at Birmingham. The home advantage and recent form gap here is massive.

Key storylines:

- **Wrexham's attack** (Moore, Rathbone, Smith) has found rhythm; Preston's defence looks brittle without McCann anchoring the midfield
- Wrexham are **unbeaten in 3 head-to-head**, having taken 2 wins — psychological edge is real
- **Preston's injury pile** (McCann out, Mills suspended) leaves their midfield thinner than expected, limiting creative outlets for Lang and Kenny

Expected lineups:

- **Wrexham**: Patterson, Doyle, Vyner, James, Whiteman, Sheaf, Moore, Smith
- **Preston North End**: Iversen, Storey, Offiah, Gibson, Hughes, Devine, Lang, Kenny

Prediction:

**Wrexham 2-0 Preston North End**

Home form + Preston's collapse = comfortable win. Preston just don't have enough firepower or solidity right now. 📊

Where to watch

Paramount+

Match facts

Stadium

Racecourse Ground

City

Wrexham

Referee

Simon Hooper

4.27 yellows/match · 26 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Championship

Highlights & clips

Wrexham 3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1 Preston North End

22 A. Patterson 6.0 5 D. Hyam 6.8 6 J. Worrall 8.2 2 C. Doyle 7.7 12 I. Kaboré 6.6 ↑ 68' 8 B. Whiteman 9.1 15 G. Dobson 6.6 ↑ 81' 3 J. Ekomie 6.6 11 B. Cadamarteri 6.5 ↑ 81' 20 O. Rathbone 6.6 ↑ 81' 27 L. O'Brien ↑ 90' 1 D. Iversen 5.3 14 J. Storey 5.6 44 B. Potts 5.9 ↑ 56' 16 A. Hughes 6.2 24 O. Offiah 6.8 27 L. Leroy 6.9 15 J. Thompson 6.7 3 A. Vukčević 6.6 9 J. Erabi 6.6 ↑ 70' 32 E. Nolan 7.0 ↑ 79' 37 D. Burgzorg 6.3 ↑ 69'

Substitutes

21GD. Ward 30DD. Imray↓ 68'6.9 26DZ. Vyner 34DA. James 17MC. O'Hare↓ 81'7.7 37MM. James↓ 81'6.9 47MR. Longman 19FK. Moore↓ 81'7.2 28FS. Smith↓ 90'7.2

Coach: Phil Parkinson

Substitutes

21GL. Nicholls 6DL. Lindsay↓ 56'6.8 2DP. Valentín 7MA. Devine↓ 79'8.3 11MT. Small 23MA. Moran 35MI. Irwin 10FC. Lang↓ 70'6.6 38FJ. Kenny↓ 69'6.5

Coach: Graham Alexander

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.67Expected goals (xG)0.87

18Total shots11

6Shots on target1

3Big chances1

8Corners2

Shots

5Shots off target5

7Blocked shots5

13Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box5

2Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed0

-0.44Goals prevented-0.92

Attack

26Touches in box15

70Final third entries87

3Offsides3

14Free kicks9

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

467Passes298

331Accurate passes169

31/102 (30%)Long balls13/70 (19%)

4/22 (18%)Crosses4/14 (29%)

26Throw-ins28

Duels

48Duels52

28/58 (48%)Ground duels30/58 (52%)

28/58 (48%)Aerial duels30/58 (52%)

5/12 (42%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)

9Dispossessed4

Defending

9Tackles16

89Tackles won69

7Interceptions13

28Clearances27

54Recoveries55

Discipline

9Fouls14

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves2

0Big saves2

8Goal kicks8

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Wrexham 56%

25%

Preston 20%

Who winsWrexham to win (DNB) 74% · 1.25 @ Novibet

1X2Wrexham to win 56% · 2.10 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.75 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.44 @ betfair

BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.30 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.00 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

1X2Preston to win 20% · 4.54 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.69

Wrexham

3.85

Draw

4.78

Preston North End

Double Chanceconsensus

1.17

Wrexham or Draw

1.22

Wrexham or Preston North End

2.10

Draw or Preston North End

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.95

Yes

1.78

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.63

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.82

Over 2.50

1.92

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.98

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.19

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.19

Wrexham

4.20

Preston North End

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.21

Over 7.50

3.90

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.42

Over 8.50

2.67

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.75

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.57

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.00

Over 11.50

1.33

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Wrexham to win or draw

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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