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Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Millwall
Millwall
Millwall
Millwall
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Millwall
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Millwall
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall.
90+1'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
87'
Attempt saved. C. Vicente (Birmingham City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
84'
Birmingham City
Offside, Birmingham City.
83'
Millwall
Offside, Millwall.
83'
Millwall
Offside, Millwall.
83'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
70'
Millwall
Corner, Millwall.
65'
Attempt saved. J. Stansfield (Birmingham City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
63'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
58'
Attempt saved. J. Stansfield (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
41'
Attempt blocked. P. Neumann (Birmingham City), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.23.
41'
Attempt missed. P. Roberts (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
40'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
35'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
29'
Goal! Birmingham City 3-0 Millwall. J. Stansfield (Birmingham City) scores, assisted by M. Bird.
20'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
20'
Attempt blocked. L. Millar (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
20'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
16'
Goal! Birmingham City 2-0 Millwall. M. Bird (Birmingham City) scores, assisted by J. Solís.
1'
Attempt missed. P. Neumann (Birmingham City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
1'
Kick-off: Birmingham City vs Millwall.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
93208 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.8%
-17.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.3%
+9.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.0%
+8.8 vs price
Half time
426 EUR
Draw
2.44 · implied 41.0%
97.7%
+56.7 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
2.0%
-21.3 vs price
Home
2.64 · implied 37.9%
0.6%
-37.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14226 EUR · live
Over
1.11 · implied 90.1%
57.5%
-32.6 vs price
Under
11.0 · implied 9.1%
42.5%
+33.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14 EUR
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
83.2%
-4.5 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
55.1%
+41.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
A. Cochrane1–0
16'
⚽
M. Bird · assist J. Solís2–0
29'
⚽
J. Stansfield · assist M. Bird3–0
Half-time · 3–0
46'
🔁
D. Kelly ◂ Z. Sturge
46'
🔁
M. Sykes ◂ M. Ivanović
55'
J. Osei-Tutu · Foul
56'
A. Cochrane · Foul
71'
🔁
R. Esse ◂ K. Lisbie
71'
🔁
J. Coburn ◂ L. Dykes
73'
🔁
C. Vicente ◂ P. Roberts
73'
🔁
B. Osayi-Samuel ◂ E. Laird
73'
🔁
D. Gray ◂ L. Millar
80'
🔁
T. Gardner-Hickman ◂ M. Bird
86'
🔁
Y. Issoufou ◂ D. Mazou-Sacko
86'
🔁
L. Vázquez ◂ J. Stansfield
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Chris DaviesAlex Neil 
Recent form
Birmingham CityWALincoln City3-1
LACardiff City0-1
WHQueens Park Rangers3-0
WHPreston North End4-0
WAWest Bromwich Albion1-0
MillwallWHDerby County4-1
LAPortsmouth1-2
DHLincoln City2-2
LHSwansea City0-1
WAPreston North End1-0
About this match
**Birmingham City are humming — Millwall just can't catch a rhythm.** Blues have won four of their last five, while the Lions are sputtering with injuries piling up fast. 🔵
Birmingham's explosive form against relegated sides and mid-table strugglers contrasts sharply with Millwall's defensive chaos. The hosts smell blood, especially with **Millwall missing four key players** including both depth at fullback and in midfield.
Key storylines:
- **Birmingham's attacking depth** — Stansfield, Priske, and Cochrane have been clinical in recent wins; Millwall's backline is stretched thin
- **Millwall's injury crisis** — Coburn, Jensen, Servais, and Arconte out; defensive stability is a luxury they can't afford right now
- **Head-to-head parity masks form gap** — all-time it's tight, but momentum is everything in this one
Expected lineups:
- **Birmingham City**: Beadle, Osayi-Samuel, Klarer, Fry, Neumann, Iwata, Stansfield, Priske, Millar, Vázquez, Cochrane
- **Millwall**: Marschall, Taylor, Cooper, Sturge, Osei-Tutu, Metcalfe, Neghli, Issoufou, Mazou-Sacko, Dykes, Lovelace
Prediction:
**Birmingham 2-0 Millwall.** Blues have the edge at home with Millwall's injury list looking like a casualty ward. 📋
Where to watch
Paramount+
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Sky Sports+Sky Sports+ HD
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
NOW
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
NOW
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
03 Nov, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Millwall
21
R. Allsop
6.7
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
7.0
↑ 73'
5
P. Neumann
7.5
4
C. Klarer
7.7
20
A. Cochrane
7.5
24
T. Iwata
7.2
14
J. Solís
6.9
7
C. Vicente
6.7
↑ 73'
32
L. Vázquez
6.4
↑ 86'
10
D. Gray
6.8
↑ 73'
19
T. Gardner-Hickman
6.5
↑ 80'
15
M. Crocombe
5.0
2
J. Osei-Tutu
6.4
6
C. Taylor
7.0
5
J. Cooper
7.1
17
M. Sykes
6.8
↑ 46'
11
R. Esse
6.5
↑ 71'
10
C. Neghli
7.2
35
Y. Issoufou
6.4
↑ 86'
25
L. Cundle
6.3
19
J. Coburn
6.5
↑ 71'
16
D. Kelly
6.5
↑ 46'
Substitutes
30GB. Mayo
2DE. Laird↓ 73'7.2
3DL. Buchanan
18MM. Bird↓ 80'8.4
16MP. Roberts↓ 73'7.4
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 86'7.1
17ML. Millar↓ 73'7.0
11MS. Wright
33FM. Ducksch
Coach: Chris Davies
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.18Expected goals (xG)0.91
19Total shots15
8Shots on target2
0Big chances1
6Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target8
7Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box13
10Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
0.12Goals prevented-2.09
Attack
30Touches in box24
64Final third entries80
1Offsides1
9Free kicks12
Passing
479Passes380
374Accurate passes278
32/86 (37%)Long balls30/88 (34%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
20Throw-ins23
Duels
50Duels50
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)
22/45 (49%)Aerial duels23/45 (51%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)
3Dispossessed3
Defending
11Tackles11
82Tackles won55
5Interceptions13
19Clearances40
62Recoveries58
Discipline
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.57 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.29 @ betfair
Who winsBirmingham to win (DNB) 64% · 1.45 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.10 @ William Hill
1X2Birmingham to win 48% · 2.40 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.56 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
1X2Millwall to win 26% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.93
Birmingham City
3.60
Draw
3.70
Millwall
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Birmingham City or Draw
1.25
Birmingham City or Millwall
1.82
Draw or Millwall
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.96
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.85
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.62
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.43
Birmingham City
2.66
Millwall
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.76
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.21
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.30
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50
1.82
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.39
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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