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Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Julien Stéphan
Queens Park Rangers
Burnley
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Burnley.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
87'
Attempt missed. R. Edwards (Queens Park Rangers), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
87'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
86'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
85'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
75'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
65'
Goal! Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Burnley. J. Varane (Queens Park Rangers) scores, assisted by I. Chair.
64'
Burnley
Offside, Burnley.
58'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
50'
Attempt blocked. K. Saito (Queens Park Rangers), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Burnley.
45+1'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
45'
1 minute of added time.
44'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
43'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
43'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
40'
Burnley
Offside, Burnley.
38'
Goal! Queens Park Rangers 0-1 Burnley. L. Ramazani (Burnley) scores, assisted by J. Vardy.
37'
Queens Park Rangers
Offside, Queens Park Rangers.
34'
Burnley
Offside, Burnley.
19'
Queens Park Rangers
Offside, Queens Park Rangers.
12'
Queens Park Rangers
Corner, Queens Park Rangers.
10'
Burnley
Offside, Burnley.
4'
Attempt missed. H. Vale (Queens Park Rangers), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.
1'
Kick-off: Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
316154 EUR · live
Home
22.0 · implied 4.5%
51.5%
+47.0 vs price
Away
46.0 · implied 2.2%
31.4%
+29.2 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
17.3%
-77.9 vs price
Half time
264 EUR
Draw
2.44 · implied 41.0%
93.5%
+52.5 vs price
Away
4.4 · implied 22.7%
3.6%
-19.1 vs price
Home
2.6 · implied 38.5%
2.9%
-35.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
99319 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
60.0%
-36.1 vs price
Over
18.5 · implied 5.4%
40.0%
+34.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
53 EUR
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
63.9%
+50.4 vs price
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
47.7%
-39.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
2'
J. Laurent · Foul
38'
⚽
L. Ramazani · assist J. Vardy0–1
Half-time · 0–1
50'
J. Varane · Handball
58'
🔁
A. Ramsey ◂ M. Edwards
59'
🔁
R. Kolli ◂ R. Kone
60'
🔁
I. Chair ◂ K. Saito
65'
⚽
J. Varane · assist I. Chair1–1
66'
🔁
K. Dembélé ◂ H. Vale
76'
🔁
J. Cullen ◂ R. Hatate
77'
🔁
J. Banel ◂ A. Hountondji
82'
🔁
B. Kemper ◂ D. Cirkin
82'
🔁
J. Obikwu ◂ P. Smyth
88'
🔁
O. Sonne ◂ J. Vardy
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3
O. Sonne · Time wasting
Coaches
Julien StéphanFabio Celestini 
Recent form
Queens Park RangersLASouthampton1-4
WHSwansea City5-0
LABirmingham City0-3
WHDerby County4-1
DAWest Ham United1-1
BurnleyDHPortsmouth0-0
LALincoln City1-4
LHWolverhampton1-2
DHCharlton Athletic2-2
WAWatford4-0
About this match
**QPR host Burnley in a midtable scrap where form's all over the place** — one team just demolished Swansea, the other just got spanked by Lincoln. 📊
Queens Park Rangers are streaky as hell: a 5-0 shellacking of Swansea followed by back-to-back defeats says "inconsistent." Burnley's been grinding draws but can't find wins when it matters. QPR are without **A. S. Mbengue**, **N. Madsen**, **R. Burrell**, and **T. Lamptey** to injury; Burnley missing **H. Mejbri** and **J. Beyer** limits their midfield creativity.
Key storylines:
- **K. Poku** and **R. Kone** need to carry the load up front for QPR with their backline stretched thin
- **J. Laurent** and **R. Hatate** anchoring Burnley's engine — can they break down a hungry home side?
- Loftus Road's a fortress when QPR turn up; Burnley haven't won the H2H in ages and are due some pain
Expected lineups:
- **Queens Park Rangers**: P. Charles, R. Edwards, J. Dunne, K. Adamson, B. Kemper, G. Kamara, P. Smyth, H. Vale, K. Poku, A. Lloyd, R. Kone
- **Burnley**: G. Coudert, I. Júlio, M. Alleyne, K. Walker, L. Pires, J. Laurent, R. Hatate, J. Bruun Larsen, U. Raghouber, L. Ramazani, Z. Amdouni
Prediction:
**QPR 2-1 Burnley** — home advantage and recent confidence edge out a Burnley side that's stuck in neutral. 🎯
Where to watch
Paramount+
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
NOW
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
NOW
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Loftus Road Stadium
City
London
Kickoff
03 Nov, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Queens Park Rangers
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
1
P. Charles
6.0
2
K. Adamson
6.8
3
J. Dunne
7.3
5
R. Edwards
7.5
12
B. Kemper
6.6
↑ 82'
7
K. Dembélé
7.2
↑ 66'
40
J. Varane
7.9
18
G. Kamara
8.1
10
I. Chair
6.6
↑ 60'
26
R. Kolli
6.3
↑ 59'
25
J. Obikwu
6.5
↑ 82'
37
G. Coudert
5.9
2
K. Walker
7.3
18
H. Ekdal
6.9
44
I. Júlio
7.9
23
L. Pires
7.0
29
J. Laurent
7.4
24
J. Cullen
6.5
↑ 76'
34
J. Banel
6.5
↑ 77'
21
A. Ramsey
6.4
↑ 58'
19
L. Ramazani
7.9
22
O. Sonne
↑ 88'
Substitutes
13GC. Ward
19DD. Cirkin↓ 82'6.5
4DL. Morrison
20MH. Vale↓ 66'7.1
14MK. Saito↓ 60'6.8
11MP. Smyth↓ 82'6.5
23MI. Alemayehu Mulugeta
17MK. Poku
22FR. Kone↓ 59'6.1
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Substitutes
1GM. Weiss
3DM. Alleyne
15DA. Ahmedhodžić
14DC. Roberts
5MR. Hatate↓ 76'7.0
8MU. Raghouber
17FA. Hountondji↓ 77'6.6
10FM. Edwards↓ 58'6.5
9FJ. Vardy↓ 88'6.3
Coach: Fabio Celestini
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.15
20Total shots4
5Shots on target1
2Big chances0
8Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target1
6Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box1
10Shots outside box3
2Big chances missed0
-0.96Goals prevented-0.64
Attack
45Touches in box4
72Final third entries67
3Offsides4
7Free kicks5
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
546Passes408
469Accurate passes314
19/45 (42%)Long balls21/66 (32%)
7/25 (28%)Crosses1/6 (17%)
19Throw-ins18
Duels
51Duels49
26/57 (46%)Ground duels31/57 (54%)
12/18 (67%)Aerial duels6/18 (33%)
10/21 (48%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
12Dispossessed6
Defending
10Tackles23
50Tackles won65
15Interceptions11
9Clearances27
60Recoveries59
Discipline
5Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks12
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsQPR to win (DNB) 67% · 1.44 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.88 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.75 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.75 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2QPR to win 47% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.66 @ 1xBet
1X2Burnley to win 27% · 3.70 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Queens Park Rangers
3.70
Draw
3.58
Burnley
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Queens Park Rangers or Draw
1.25
Queens Park Rangers or Burnley
1.82
Draw or Burnley
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.65
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.28
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.01
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.41
Queens Park Rangers
2.70
Burnley
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.92
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50
2.09
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.92
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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