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Lincoln City
Watford
Watford
Lincoln City
Watford
Lincoln City
Watford
Watford
Watford
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Lincoln City
Watford
Watford
Watford
Lincoln City
Alessio Dionisi
Watford
Lincoln City
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Lincoln City
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Watford 1-0 Lincoln City.
90+1'
Attempt blocked. R. Hackett-Fairchild (Lincoln City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
82'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
82'
Watford
Offside, Watford.
77'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
71'
Attempt blocked. R. Street (Lincoln City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.
68'
Attempt blocked. R. Street (Lincoln City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
59'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
57'
Attempt blocked. T. Bayliss (Lincoln City), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
54'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Watford 0-0 Lincoln City.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
43'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
42'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
41'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
31'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
31'
Attempt blocked. T. Bayliss (Lincoln City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
30'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
26'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
16'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
16'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
13'
Watford
Corner, Watford.
6'
Lincoln City
Corner, Lincoln City.
1'
Kick-off: Watford vs Lincoln City.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
92045 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.5%
-35.5 vs price
Away
120.0 · implied 0.8%
22.7%
+21.8 vs price
Draw
50.0 · implied 2.0%
14.7%
+12.7 vs price
Half time
56 EUR
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
92.6%
+63.6 vs price
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
63.1%
+19.6 vs price
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
0.2%
-29.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
43087 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.6%
-15.4 vs price
Over
29.0 · implied 3.4%
16.5%
+13.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
16 EUR
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
100.0%
+89.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
⚽
S. Mavididi · assist M. Boadu1–0
47'
B. House · Argument
50'
S. Mavididi
56'
K. K. Biakolo · Foul
60'
🔁
M. Doumbia ◂ M. Boadu
61'
🔁
R. Hackett-Fairchild ◂ C. Ogbene
61'
🔁
R. Street ◂ C. Elder
61'
🔁
K. Diatta ◂ O. Traore
70'
🔁
T. Hamer ◂ D. Oyegoke
70'
🔁
M. Payero ◂ S. Mavididi
70'
🔁
B. Mlačić ◂ O. Maamma
79'
🔁
D. Jefferies ◂ T. Bayliss
79'
🔁
A. Reach ◂ D. Elerewe
80'
B. Mlačić · Foul
86'
🔁
A. Nabizada ◂ I. Bravo
88'
S. Bradley · Argument
88'
E. Kayembe · Argument
Full-time · 1–0
90'
H. Kyprianou · Time wasting
Coaches
Alessio DionisiChris Cohen 
Recent form
WatfordLANorwich City2-3
LAWolverhampton0-1
WHCharlton Athletic2-0
LACardiff City1-5
LHBurnley0-4
Lincoln CityLHBirmingham City1-3
WHBurnley4-1
DAMillwall2-2
LHWest Ham United0-6
LASheffield United0-3
About this match
**Watford hosting Lincoln in a mid-table scrap where both sides are desperately hunting wins.** Neither team's racked up consistent form lately, so this could be the spark someone needs. 🔥
Watford's been brutal on the road (three losses in their last four away games), but **Vicarage Road is a fortress mentality shift** — they beat Charlton 2-0 at home most recently. Lincoln grabbed a morale-boosting 4-1 over Burnley but then crashed 3-1 to Birmingham, so they're wildly inconsistent. Missing **Darikwa and Melia** is a real blow to their shape.
Key storylines:
- **Watford's attacking trident of Bravo, Payero, and Doumbia** need to convert the home advantage into early pressure before Lincoln settles into their compact 3-4-2 shape
- **Lincoln's wingbacks Reach and Hackett-Fairchild** will be stretched thin if Watford's transitions quicken — gaps could open fast
- **E. Kayembe and H. Kyprianou controlling midfield** will be key to Watford's rhythm; Lincoln's **House and McGrandles** must disrupt it
Expected lineups:
- **Watford**: Ravaglia, Pollock, Biakolo, Coulibaly, Mlačić, Kyprianou, Kayembe, Bravo, Payero, Doumbia, Kjerrumgaard
- **Lincoln City**: Wickens, Honohan, Bradley, Elerewe, Reach, House, Hackett-Fairchild, McGrandles, Draper, Street, Ladefoged
Prediction:
**Watford 2–0 Lincoln City**
Home comfort and a fresher midfield give Watford the edge here.
Where to watch
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Sky Sports+
NOW
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
NOW
Match facts
Stadium
Vicarage Road
City
Watford
Kickoff
03 Nov, 19:45 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Watford
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Lincoln City
1
F. Ravaglia
7.2
15
K. Diatta
6.9
↑ 61'
6
M. Pollock
7.9
4
K. K. Biakolo
6.4
16
M. Bola
7.8
39
E. Kayembe
7.1
5
H. Kyprianou
7.4
29
B. Mlačić
6.6
↑ 70'
21
A. Nabizada
6.4
↑ 86'
22
M. Payero
6.6
↑ 70'
20
M. Doumbia
6.8
↑ 60'
1
G. Wickens
6.4
3
A. Reach
6.8
↑ 79'
15
S. Bradley
6.8
4
A. Coubiș
7.0
22
T. Hamer
6.7
↑ 70'
26
Y. Konak
6.8
16
D. Jefferies
6.4
↑ 79'
7
R. Hackett-Fairchild
6.7
↑ 61'
17
R. Street
6.3
↑ 61'
18
B. House
6.7
34
F. Draper
6.8
Substitutes
26GD. Bachmann
23DO. Traore↓ 61'7.0
33DJ. Zemura
45MS. Mavididi↓ 70'7.6
7MO. Maamma↓ 70'6.3
17FI. Bravo↓ 86'7.1
10FM. Boadu↓ 60'6.7
11FR. Vata
9FL. Kjerrumgaard
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Substitutes
46GJ. Gauci
25DD. Elerewe↓ 79'6.3
6DR. Towler
20MC. Elder↓ 61'7.3
33MD. Oyegoke↓ 70'7.1
8MT. Bayliss↓ 79'6.7
24MV. Ivan
27FC. Ogbene↓ 61'6.4
19FT. Olaofe
Coach: Chris Cohen
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.61Expected goals (xG)0.75
18Total shots12
2Shots on target1
1Big chances0
7Corners6
Shots
10Shots off target4
6Blocked shots7
6Shots inside box8
12Shots outside box4
1Big chances missed0
0.06Goals prevented-0.85
Attack
13Touches in box36
53Final third entries71
1Offsides0
10Free kicks17
0Fouled in final third4
Passing
447Passes287
377Accurate passes191
22/52 (42%)Long balls31/76 (41%)
5/13 (38%)Crosses8/22 (36%)
17Throw-ins29
Duels
49Duels51
30/67 (45%)Ground duels37/67 (55%)
24/44 (55%)Aerial duels20/44 (45%)
8/17 (47%)Dribbles2/9 (22%)
11Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles20
58Tackles won70
7Interceptions8
58Clearances24
46Recoveries40
Discipline
17Fouls10
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
6Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsLincoln to win (DNB) 63% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.44 @ betfair
1X2Lincoln to win 34% · 3.00 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.65 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.14 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.11 @ Pinnacle
1X2Watford to win 38% · 2.92 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.62
Watford
3.30
Draw
2.62
Lincoln City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Watford or Draw
1.30
Watford or Lincoln City
1.44
Draw or Lincoln City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.83
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.34
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.84
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.91
Watford
1.82
Lincoln City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.63
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.74
Over 9.50
2.03
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50
1.64
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.81
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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