Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**West Brom welcome a red-hot Southampton to The Hawthorns — and the visitors are quietly the form side in this fixture.** This is a proper Championship scrap between two sides heading in opposite directions. 🔥
West Brom have climbed into the mix with three wins in five, but Southampton are on an absolute tear: four wins in their last five, including a 4-1 demolition of QPR. The H2H is genuinely interesting too — the Baggies have won just six of the last 25 meetings, while Saints have taken 13. That's a red flag for Carlos Corberán's men.
Key storylines:
- **West Brom's injury woes are biting hard** — Johnston, Galves, and Collyer all sidelined means makeshift solutions defensively
- **Southampton's attack is clicking** — they're prolific and clinical, and they'll fancy their chances on the road against a wounded backline
- **J. Ward-Prowse leading the set-piece charge** for the visitors; West Brom need a clean sheet
Expected lineups:
- **West Bromwich Albion**: M. O'Leary, C. Styles, G. Campbell, C. Mepham, B. Pereira, I. Price, J. Molumby, O. Diakité, J. Morgan, A. S. Heggebø, B. Stewart
- **Southampton**: D. Peretz, K. Schlotterbeck, J. Bree, J. Stephens, N. Wood, F. Azaz, J. Ward-Prowse, L. Dobbin, R. Manning, D. Mubama, C. Larin
Prediction:
**Southampton 2–1 West Brom.** Saints have the edge in form and a softer backline to exploit.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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