Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**West Brom's cruising, Millwall's hitting turbulence** — the Baggies are on a 3W-2D run while the Lions have spiraled to 1W-3L. This feels like a home side ready to punish inconsistency. 🔵
WBA's winning mentality at The Hawthorns is the story here. Millwall's been all over the map: hammering Derby 4-1 then losing 3-0 to Birmingham. The visitors need to find their feet fast, or **O. Diakité** and the Albion midfield will run the show.
Key storylines:
- **West Bromwich Albion's form** is white-hot — three wins in five, and home advantage tilts everything their way
- **Millwall's defensive woes** will face **J. Morgan** and a sharp Albion attack looking to capitalize on poor recent results
- **T. Arconte's absence** for Millwall weakens their defensive setup against a hungry home side
Expected lineups:
- **West Bromwich Albion**: M. O'Leary, C. Styles, C. Mepham, B. Pereira, N. Phillips, I. Price, J. Molumby, O. Diakité, J. Morgan, A. S. Heggebø, B. Stewart
- **Millwall**: F. Marschall, C. Taylor, J. Metcalfe, T. Crama, R. Leonard, C. Neghli, D. Mazou-Sacko, J. Cooper, K. Lisbie, L. Dykes, Z. Sturge
Prediction:
**West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Millwall** — WBA's momentum and home comfort gives them a clear edge here.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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