Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Craiova rolls into round 4 as clear favorites** — they've absolutely dominated this fixture historically, and Argeș' torrid early-season form is about to meet a much stiffer test. 🔵
Universitatea are playing hot-and-cold (4-0 demolition of Ploiești sandwiched between draws), while Argeș have quietly strung together three wins and look genuinely dangerous. Still, that H2H record doesn't lie.
Key storylines:
- **Universitatea's home record** typically carries serious weight; Argeș haven't broken their curse at Ion Oblemenco in ages
- **Argeș' attacking trio** of Moldoveanu, Idowu, and Moldovan have been sharp early on—they'll need to stay clinical against Craiova's backline
- **Craiova's midfield control** with Badelj anchoring should dominate possession and tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Universitatea Craiova**: L. Popescu, V. Screciu, O. Romanchuk, R. R. Webster, J. Badelj, B. Ndong, C. Mora, D. Matei
- **FC Argeș Pitești**: C. Straton, M. Tudose, L. Sadriu, F. Borța, C. Tofan, R. Sierra, Y. Pîrvu, I. Rădescu
Prediction:
**Universitatea Craiova 2–0 FC Argeș Pitești** — home advantage and that brutal head-to-head edge tip this firmly toward the hosts, despite Argeș' nice run. 📊
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.9% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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