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Jon Ansotegi
Real Sociedad B
CD Castellón
Real Sociedad B
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
CD Castellón
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
89289 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.7%
-8.3 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
5.5%
+1.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.8%
+4.7 vs price
Half time
312 EUR
Home
4.9 · implied 20.4%
50.4%
+30.0 vs price
Draw
2.6 · implied 38.5%
30.2%
-8.3 vs price
Away
2.44 · implied 41.0%
18.9%
-22.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30188 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
71.1%
-27.9 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
29.1%
+27.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
290 EUR
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
98.4%
+12.2 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
1.4%
-12.9 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
O. Camara0–1
Half-time · 0–1
57'
J. Garro · Foul
58'
D. Barri · Foul
60'
A. Jakobsen · Time wasting
66'
🔁
A. Mariezkurrena ◂ D. Díaz
66'
🔁
I. Cordoba ◂ P. Santiago
66'
🔁
A. Gala ◂ A. Jakobsen
73'
🔁
J. Eceizabarrena ◂ I. Aguirre
73'
🔁
J. Balda ◂ I. Calderon
78'
🔁
H. Bellari ◂ R. Sánchez
78'
🔁
M. Doué ◂ D. Barri
83'
I. Cordoba · Foul
83'
🔁
E. Orobengoa ◂ G. C. Zarranz
83'
🔁
J. Soroeta ◂ G. Gorosabel
86'
U. Agote · Foul
87'
🔁
J. Vlak ◂ Á. Martín
Full-time · 0–1
90'+2
J. Vlak · Foul
Coaches
Jon AnsotegiPablo Hernández 
Recent form
Real Sociedad BLAReal Zaragoza1-2
LHHuesca0-2
LHEibar0-1
WHPau FC4-0
LABurgos Club de Fútbol0-2
CD CastellónLHLevante UD1-3
DAHércules CF0-0
LADeportivo Alavés0-3
DAGirona FC3-3
WAValencia2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta
City
San Sebastian
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
Real Sociedad B
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
CD Castellón
1
A. Fraga
6.6
2
J. Garro
6.4
3
J. Balda
6.9
↑ 73'
5
K. Kita
6.7
23
U. Agote
6.9
14
T. Carbonell
7.0
21
J. Eceizabarrena
6.8
↑ 73'
10
A. Mariezkurrena
6.3
↑ 66'
9
E. Orobengoa
6.6
↑ 83'
17
L. Astiazarán
6.8
19
J. Soroeta
6.4
↑ 83'
13
R. Matthys
6.9
22
J. Mellot
7.3
5
A. Jiménez
7.9
4
A. Sienra
7.5
27
A. Gala
6.7
↑ 66'
25
J. Vlak
6.5
↑ 87'
6
M. Doué
6.7
↑ 78'
2
J. Nieto
7.2
14
I. Cordoba
6.1
↑ 66'
9
O. Camara
7.2
19
H. Bellari
6.6
↑ 78'
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
4Total shots13
1Shots on target5
1Big chances4
5Corners8
Shots
1Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
4Shots inside box7
0Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
Attack
14Touches in box16
52Final third entries64
5Offsides1
21Free kicks22
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
347Passes518
268Accurate passes441
16/53 (30%)Long balls22/50 (44%)
1/21 (5%)Crosses6/18 (33%)
18Throw-ins10
Duels
51Duels49
50/100 (50%)Ground duels50/100 (50%)
9/16 (56%)Aerial duels7/16 (44%)
7/21 (33%)Dribbles11/20 (55%)
4Dispossessed13
Defending
22Tackles18
59Tackles won67
12Interceptions6
22Clearances24
51Recoveries52
Discipline
22Fouls21
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
4Goal kicks4
1Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsCastellón to win (DNB) 68% · 1.50 @ merkurxtip
1X2Castellón to win 51% · 2.22 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.71 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.90 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.24 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.68 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 25% · 2.96 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.06 @ 888Sport
1X2Real Sociedad B to win 24% · 4.30 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.05
Real Sociedad B
3.82
Draw
1.75
CD Castellón ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.92
Real Sociedad B or Draw
1.23
Real Sociedad B or CD Castellón
1.21
Draw or CD Castellón
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.18
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▲
12.11
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.19
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.62
Over 2.50
2.16
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.65
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.97
Real Sociedad B
1.34
CD Castellón
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50 ▲
8.50
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
4.82
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.06
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.57
Over 8.50
2.25
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.94
Over 9.50
1.75
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.45
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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