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Nicolas Larcamon
Sporting Gijón
CE Sabadell
Sporting Gijón
4-4-2 · 3-1-4-2
CE Sabadell
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
290898 EUR · live
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
54.6%
-43.4 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
30.2%
+29.2 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
15.2%
+14.2 vs price
Half time
1460 EUR · live
Draw
1.63 · implied 61.3%
53.6%
-7.8 vs price
Home
4.5 · implied 22.2%
25.5%
+3.3 vs price
Away
6.0 · implied 16.7%
20.9%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
86912 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.5%
-7.5 vs price
Over
990.0 · implied 0.1%
8.5%
+8.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4510 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.1%
-5.9 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
6.8%
+5.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
Ó. Sanz · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'
M. Rodriguez · Foul
62'
🔁
H. Guillamón ◂ N. Iosifov
62'
🔁
K. de la Fuente ◂ A. Sarco
63'
🔁
N. Gioacchini ◂ Y. Rahmani
63'
🔁
X. Moreno ◂ J. Priego
67'
🔁
P. García ◂ H. Guillamón
74'
🔁
E. Aguilar ◂ P. Pons
78'
Q. Liameed · Foul
84'
🔁
I. Martín ◂ M. Rodriguez
84'
🔁
A. Duñabeitia ◂ E. Gularte
85'
🔁
J. L. Catala ◂ A. Bonaldo
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
E. González · Foul
Coaches
Ferran Costa 
Recent form
LHReal Valladolid2-4
LAReal Racing Club1-4
WAGimnástica Torrelavega5-0
LACelta Vigo0-1
WAMarino Luanco2-1
WAUE Olot3-0
DAGirona FC2-2
DAFC Andorra0-0
WHInter Club d'Escaldes1-0
WHCE Manresa2-1
Match facts
Stadium
El Molinón
City
Gijon
Referee
Kickoff
17 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
1
R. Yáñez
7.7
2
G. Rosas
7.7
24
A. Duñabeitia
6.7
↑ 84'
15
P. Vázquez
7.4
5
D. Sánchez
7.2
10
C. Gelabert
6.6
6
I. Martín
6.8
↑ 84'
14
Á. Corredera
7.0
22
H. Guillamón
↑ 62'
19
J. Otero
7.5
11
K. de la Fuente
6.8
↑ 62'
1
D. Fuoli
8.1
14
Ó. Sanz
7.5
6
E. González
7.5
27
J. L. Catala
6.7
↑ 85'
20
A. Orriols
6.9
7
T. Ripoll
7.3
22
Q. Liameed
7.1
24
E. Aguilar
6.6
↑ 74'
4
M. Codina
6.5
30
X. Moreno
6.6
↑ 63'
16
N. Gioacchini
6.2
↑ 63'
Substitutes
13GE. Arana
3DP. García↑ 67'6.7
4DE. Gularte↓ 84'6.6
26DI. Martinez
23DJ. Sáenz
8MM. Rodriguez↓ 84'6.8
20MN. Iosifov↓ 62'6.7
36MB. Rubio
16FA. Sarco↓ 62'6.7
35FC. Ferreres
28FM. Conde
27FE. Prendes
Coach: Nicolas Larcamon
Substitutes
13GJ. Ortega
31GM. E. Rubio
5DA. Bonaldo↓ 85'6.3
15DKaiser
8MP. Pons↓ 74'6.3
23MJ. Priego↓ 63'6.2
19MY. Rahmani↓ 63'5.5
17FA. Coscia
10FMiguelete
18FN. Obolskiy
12FG. Valles
Coach: Ferran Costa
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
8Total shots15
5Shots on target2
1Big chances2
1Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target8
0Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed2
Attack
9Touches in box23
44Final third entries74
2Offsides6
20Free kicks6
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
454Passes344
358Accurate passes253
23/57 (40%)Long balls21/56 (38%)
4/10 (40%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
26Throw-ins23
Duels
61Duels39
39/61 (64%)Ground duels22/61 (36%)
21/37 (57%)Aerial duels16/37 (43%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
17Tackles11
71Tackles won82
5Interceptions8
27Clearances25
42Recoveries47
Discipline
7Fouls20
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsSporting to win (DNB) 72% · 1.42 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.72 @ 1xBet
1X2Sporting to win 52% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.90 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.01 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.67 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.42 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.45 @ betfair
1X2Sabadell to win 20% · 4.90 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.86
Sporting Gijón ▲
3.22
Draw ▼
4.37
CE Sabadell ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Sporting Gijón or Draw ▲
1.31
Sporting Gijón or CE Sabadell ▲
1.87
Draw or CE Sabadell ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.97
Yes ▼
1.75
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.68
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50 ▼
2.86
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.19
Over 2.50 ▲
1.63
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.01
Over 3.50 ▼
1.22
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.70
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Sporting Gijón ▼
3.28
CE Sabadell ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.19
Over 6.50
4.30
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50
2.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50
2.08
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.65
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.75
Over 10.50
1.38
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.62
Over 11.50 ▲
1.22
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
5.70
Over 12.50
1.11
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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