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José Juan Romero
AD Ceuta
UD Las Palmas
AD Ceuta
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
UD Las Palmas
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
99741 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.7%
-34.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
23.4%
+23.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Half time
1749 EUR · live
Draw
1.94 · implied 51.5%
91.0%
+39.5 vs price
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
7.2%
-16.1 vs price
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
1.7%
-16.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
52645 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
56.5%
-39.6 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
43.5%
+37.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3138 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.0%
-5.0 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
7.0%
+4.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
29'
⚽
T. Miyashiro0–1
30'
VAR
Goal check · G. Bonfanti
32'
J. J. Romero · Argument
Half-time · 0–1
50'
K. A. Kone · Argument
64'
🔁
A. Meléndez ◂ Y. Bodiger
64'
🔁
C. Teguia ◂ A. Camacho
66'
🔁
R. Cruz ◂ Jesé
69'
⚽
M. Fuster · assist T. Miyashiro0–2
73'
🔁
G. Okoro ◂ K. Zalazar
75'
🔁
I. González ◂ E. Loiodice
87'
🔁
E. Romero ◂ G. Bonfanti
87'
🔁
A. Rodríguez ◂ Jefté
87'
🔁
S. Ruiz ◂ M. Fuster
Full-time · 0–2
90'
🔁
J. Matos ◂ Redru
90'+3
C. Teguia · Argument
Coaches
José Juan RomeroRubén de la Barrera 
Recent form
AD CeutaLAFC Andorra1-5
WHMálaga CF2-1
WACádiz3-1
LASevilla1-2
LAJuventud Torremolinos CF0-1
UD Las PalmasWHAlbacete Balompié2-1
WACádiz3-1
LHNeom SC0-1
WHUnião de Leiria3-2
LHAl-Ittihad1-2
Where to watch
DAZNGOL
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
City
Ceuta
Referee
Kickoff
22 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
AD Ceuta
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
UD Las Palmas
13
G. Vallejo
6.3
23
Anuar
6.3
6
Carlos
6.2
5
A. Lapeña
6.8
3
J. Matos
↑ 90'
32
G. Okoro
6.6
↑ 73'
11
C. Teguia
7.2
↑ 64'
10
M. Illescas
7.3
22
K. A. Kone
7.0
9
J. Escobar
6.3
20
A. Meléndez
6.6
↑ 64'
13
J. Caro
7.1
27
V. Pezzolesi
7.4
4
A. Suárez
15
J. Herzog
7.0
23
A. Rodríguez
6.6
↑ 87'
11
T. Miyashiro
7.8
6
I. González
6.7
↑ 76'
20
K. Rodríguez
7.6
8
S. Ruiz
6.4
↑ 87'
29
E. Romero
6.4
↑ 87'
32
R. Cruz
6.6
↑ 66'
Substitutes
1GP. López
16DRedru↓ 90'6.8
34DD. M. Soria
4DA. Caparrós
14MY. Bodiger↓ 64'7.0
8MK. Zalazar↓ 73'6.7
7MA. Camacho↓ 64'6.3
31MA. Romero
24MV. Corral
Coach: José Juan Romero
Substitutes
21DG. Bonfanti↓ 87'6.7
33DV. Víctor
14MM. Fuster↓ 87'8.2
12ME. Loiodice↓ 76'6.7
19MS. Ramírez6.4
30MI. Medina
26MA. Bassinga
16MM. Acimovic
24MI. Jaime
10FJesé↓ 66'6.4
7FJefté↓ 87'6.4
Coach: Rubén de la Barrera
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
18Total shots9
4Shots on target4
0Big chances2
6Corners4
Shots
11Shots off target2
3Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
32Touches in box14
37Final third entries38
1Offsides2
15Free kicks18
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
418Passes377
359Accurate passes321
22/31 (71%)Long balls19/35 (54%)
8/20 (40%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
31Throw-ins16
Duels
51Duels49
32/66 (48%)Ground duels34/66 (52%)
7/10 (70%)Aerial duels3/10 (30%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles0/5 (0%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
13Tackles17
38Tackles won59
11Interceptions3
17Clearances16
44Recoveries32
Discipline
18Fouls15
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
5Goal kicks14
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsLas Palmas to win (DNB) 57% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.36 @ Unibet
1X2Las Palmas to win 35% · 2.75 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.30 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.86 @ Novibet
1X2Ceuta to win 38% · 3.30 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.08
AD Ceuta ▼
3.10
Draw ▼
2.33
UD Las Palmas ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.56
AD Ceuta or Draw ▼
1.34
AD Ceuta or UD Las Palmas ▲
1.34
Draw or UD Las Palmas ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes ▲
1.94
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.92
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.45
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.32
Over 1.50 ▲
3.12
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.03
Over 2.50 ▲
1.73
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.51
Over 3.50 ▲
1.26
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.05
AD Ceuta
1.72
UD Las Palmas
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
13.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
9.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.10
Over 5.50
5.67
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.23
Over 6.50
3.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.50
Under 7.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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