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Albert Celades
Cádiz
Real Valladolid
Cádiz
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Real Valladolid
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
159549 EUR · live
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
50.6%
-44.6 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
28.0%
+24.7 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
21.5%
+19.2 vs price
Half time
1063 EUR · live
Draw
2.0 · implied 50.0%
72.3%
+22.3 vs price
Away
24.0 · implied 4.2%
15.3%
+11.1 vs price
Home
1.31 · implied 76.3%
12.3%
-64.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
116634 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
65.1%
-31.0 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
34.9%
+31.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1779 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
93.4%
+2.5 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
6.6%
-2.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
J. Ponceau · Foul
17'
⚽
U. Izeta (pen)1–0
22'
J. Orellana · Foul
42'
⚽
L. Chacón1–1
Half-time · 1–1
62'
🔁
B. Vázquez ◂ U. Izeta
62'
🔁
J. González ◂ J. Orellana
63'
VAR
Goal not given after review · L. Chacón
69'
🔁
V. Fernández ◂ Y. Cabanzón
69'
🔁
J. Latasa ◂ R. v. Duiven
72'
🔁
I. Sánchez ◂ D. Z. Hidalgo
72'
🔁
C. Gutiérrez ◂ M. Fernández
74'
🔁
D. Pérez ◂ J. Ponceau
74'
🔁
A. Balboa ◂ K. de Rooij
75'
B. Vázquez · Foul
76'
T. Ojeda · Argument
82'
G. Gocholeishvili · Foul
86'
🔁
M. Lachuer ◂ T. Ojeda
86'
🔁
V. Kopotun ◂ A. Garcia-Pascual
86'
VAR
Goal not given after review · C. Clerc
88'
M. Lachuer · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'
J. Castro · Foul
90'
Y. Cabanzón · Argument
Coaches
Albert CeladesFrancisco Escribá Segura 
Recent form
CádizDACD Eldense2-2
DHCelta Fortuna0-0
LHUD Las Palmas1-3
WHGranada2-0
DACD Tenerife2-2
Real ValladolidLAEibar0-1
LAMallorca0-2
WASporting Gijón4-2
WAGimnástica Segoviana3-0
LAFC Groningen0-1
Where to watch
LaLiga TV Hypermotion
DAZN4 Portugal
Match facts
Stadium
Nuevo Mirandilla
City
Cadiz
Kickoff
30 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
Cádiz
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
Real Valladolid
13
J. Ezkieta
7.2
14
B. Kovačević
6.3
4
J. Castro
6.4
22
C. Gutiérrez
6.7
↑ 72'
12
G. Gocholeishvili
6.7
5
J. González
6.8
↑ 62'
23
D. Rodríguez
7.2
24
I. Sánchez
6.5
↑ 72'
16
A. Cordero
6.1
20
B. Vázquez
6.5
↑ 62'
21
V. Kopotun
6.3
↑ 86'
1
A. A. Catalina
6.4
14
I. Alejo
7.2
12
M. Rubio
6.7
4
D. Torres
7.3
18
C. Clerc
6.7
6
M. Lachuer
6.9
↑ 86'
28
D. Pérez
6.7
↑ 74'
30
V. Fernández
6.6
↑ 69'
7
L. Chacón
7.3
16
A. Balboa
6.5
↑ 74'
9
J. Latasa
6.5
↑ 69'
Substitutes
1GD. Gil
6DM. Fernández↓ 72'6.8
31DN. Ukwuije
27DJ. Díaz
33DM. Rivera
18MJ. Orellana↓ 62'7.4
28MD. Z. Hidalgo↓ 72'6.4
11MJ. A. d. l. Rosa
10MJ. Ontiveros
9FA. Garcia-Pascual↓ 86'6.9
19FU. Izeta↓ 62'6.8
8FE. Ugiagbe
Coach: Albert Celades
Substitutes
26GL. Lavagnino
5DR. Martínez
27DI. G. Muñoz
2DTrilli
15DP. Tomeo
8MT. Ojeda↓ 86'6.9
21MJ. Ponceau↓ 74'6.2
11MY. Cabanzón↓ 69'6.1
20FR. v. Duiven↓ 69'6.4
22FK. de Rooij↓ 74'6.2
19FA. Arnu
17FV. Barberá
Coach: Francisco Escribá Segura
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
10Total shots14
2Shots on target6
1Big chances2
4Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
15Touches in box20
52Final third entries60
3Offsides2
11Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
484Passes457
400Accurate passes378
17/44 (39%)Long balls27/62 (44%)
1/11 (9%)Crosses4/23 (17%)
23Throw-ins15
Duels
43Duels57
33/78 (42%)Ground duels45/78 (58%)
9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)
8/22 (36%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
13Tackles23
62Tackles won61
4Interceptions11
24Clearances18
46Recoveries53
Discipline
16Fouls12
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
6Saves1
2Big saves0
10Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.11 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 31% · 2.33 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Who winsCádiz to win (DNB) 61% · 1.83 @ Bet365
1X2Real Valladolid to win 32% · 3.40 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ 10bet
1X2Cádiz to win 38% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.50 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.42
Cádiz
3.00
Draw
2.90
Real Valladolid
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Cádiz or Draw
1.30
Cádiz or Real Valladolid
1.50
Draw or Real Valladolid
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes
1.80
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.67
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.73
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.26
Over 2.50
1.57
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.21
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
Cádiz
1.94
Real Valladolid
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50
2.73
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.67
Over 8.50
2.08
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.02
Over 9.50
1.71
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.54
Over 10.50
1.41
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.45
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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