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Luis García Fernández
Mallorca
AD Ceuta
Mallorca
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
AD Ceuta
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
69907 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.5%
-19.5 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
17.1%
+16.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.5%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
2670 EUR · live
Home
1.14 · implied 87.7%
94.7%
+7.0 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
3.9%
-8.0 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
1.3%
-43.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
33316 EUR · live
Under
1.29 · implied 77.5%
66.3%
-11.2 vs price
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
33.7%
+11.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
534 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
80.6%
-5.6 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
19.3%
+5.0 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
🔁
Á. Petxa ◂ Anuar
18'
A. Meléndez · Foul
20'
⚽
A. Sala1–0
Half-time · 1–0
50'
⚽
A. Fuentes · assist Z. Luvumbo2–0
55'
🔁
A. Roca ◂ J. Cerdà
64'
🔁
A. Buksa ◂ A. Fuentes
64'
🔁
A. Sánchez ◂ M. Morlanes
64'
🔁
A. Liso ◂ Z. Luvumbo
67'
A. Sala · Foul
72'
🔁
G. Okoro ◂ J. Escobar
72'
🔁
A. Betancourt ◂ C. Teguia
74'
A. Roca · Foul
78'
A. Lapeña · Foul
84'
🔁
A. Soumahoro ◂ T. Lato
87'
Y. Bodiger · Simulation
88'
🔁
A. Romero ◂ Y. Bodiger
88'
🔁
J. Matos ◂ A. Camacho
89'
⚽
A. Buksa · assist A. Sala3–0
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Luis García FernándezJosé Juan Romero 
Recent form
MallorcaLAGranada0-2
WHReal Valladolid2-0
DHSV 07 Elversberg1-1
WHParis Saint-Germain3-0
WHAl-Ittihad4-2
AD CeutaLHUD Las Palmas0-2
LAFC Andorra1-5
WHMálaga CF2-1
WACádiz3-1
LASevilla1-2
Where to watch
LaLiga TV Hypermotion
Match facts
Stadium
Estadi de Son Moix
City
Palma
Referee
Kickoff
30 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
Mallorca
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
AD Ceuta
1
A. Tenas
6.9
34
M. Calatayud
7.0
24
M. Valjent
7.6
21
A. Raíllo
7.3
22
A. Soumahoro
6.8
↑ 84'
7
A. Sala
8.9
6
A. Sánchez
6.6
↑ 64'
16
A. Buksa
7.5
↑ 64'
20
P. Torre
6.8
23
A. Roca
6.6
↑ 55'
33
A. Liso
7.0
↑ 64'
13
G. Vallejo
6.1
3
J. Matos
↑ 88'
18
Á. Petxa
5.5
↑ 8'
6
Carlos
6.2
5
A. Lapeña
6.0
16
Redru
5.8
31
A. Romero
↑ 88'
20
A. Meléndez
6.3
8
K. Zalazar
6.2
32
G. Okoro
6.4
↑ 72'
26
A. Betancourt
6.6
↑ 72'
Substitutes
13GL. Bergström
25GI. Cuéllar
3DT. Lato↓ 84'7.8
4DD. López
29DL. Orejuela
8MM. Morlanes↓ 64'7.3
10MS. Darder
39MJ. García
11FZ. Luvumbo↓ 64'7.2
18FA. Fuentes↓ 64'7.2
19FJ. Cerdà↓ 55'6.9
36FA. Peñalver
Coach: Luis García Fernández
Substitutes
1GP. López
23DAnuar↓ 8'6.6
34DD. M. Soria
4DA. Caparrós
14MY. Bodiger↓ 88'6.5
11MC. Teguia↓ 72'6.4
7MA. Camacho↓ 88'6.1
10MM. Illescas
17MM. Mensah
9FJ. Escobar↓ 72'6.3
Coach: José Juan Romero
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
13Total shots5
4Shots on target0
5Big chances0
3Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box2
4Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
25Touches in box12
49Final third entries25
2Offsides1
14Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
480Passes431
435Accurate passes368
18/31 (58%)Long balls9/24 (38%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
19Throw-ins14
Duels
60Duels40
43/73 (59%)Ground duels30/73 (41%)
8/12 (67%)Aerial duels4/12 (33%)
10/14 (71%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
21Tackles13
67Tackles won85
12Interceptions7
14Clearances17
43Recoveries36
Discipline
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
1Big saves0
2Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Mallorca to win 66% · 1.78 @ Unibet
Who winsMallorca to win (DNB) 68% · 1.15 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.00 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.58 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.91 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.33 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 21% · 2.92 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.48 @ 10bet
1X2Ceuta to win 14% · 6.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.42
Mallorca
4.40
Draw
6.50
AD Ceuta
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
Mallorca or Draw
1.15
Mallorca or AD Ceuta
2.80
Draw or AD Ceuta
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes
1.83
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.42
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.16
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.69
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.90
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.14
Mallorca
5.25
AD Ceuta
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.12
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50
2.33
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.88
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Mallorca to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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