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Claudio Baragan
CD Eldense
Mallorca
CD Eldense
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Mallorca
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
127492 EUR · live
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
50.1%
-45.1 vs price
Away
46.0 · implied 2.2%
44.8%
+42.6 vs price
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
5.1%
+1.2 vs price
Half time
344 EUR · live
Draw
1.71 · implied 58.5%
48.9%
-9.6 vs price
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
33.2%
+9.4 vs price
Home
6.4 · implied 15.6%
17.8%
+2.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17849 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.1%
-12.9 vs price
Over
150.0 · implied 0.7%
13.9%
+13.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1886 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.3%
-1.7 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
3.6%
+1.6 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
M. Valjent · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
49'
A. Raíllo · Foul
50'
D. R. Montero · Foul
58'
🔁
A. Olabarrieta ◂ J. Martínez
60'
L. Garcia · Argument
62'
🔁
A. Soumahoro ◂ T. Lato
62'
🔁
P. Torre ◂ J. Cerdà
62'
🔁
A. Liso ◂ Z. Luvumbo
64'
🔁
M. Nieto ◂ M. Carmona
73'
🔁
A. Buksa ◂ A. Fuentes
76'
🔁
C. Guirao ◂ J. Martín
77'
🔁
R. López ◂ G. Macho
77'
🔁
I. Recio ◂ Fidel
83'
🔁
G. Fernández ◂ A. Sala
Full-time · 0–0
90'+4
A. Liso · Foul
Coaches
Claudio BaraganLuis García Fernández 
Recent form
CD EldenseLALeganés0-1
DHCádiz2-2
LAAlmería0-3
WHFC Cartagena3-0
LAAlbacete Balompié0-1
MallorcaWHAD Ceuta3-0
LAGranada0-2
WHReal Valladolid2-0
DHSV 07 Elversberg1-1
WHParis Saint-Germain3-0
Where to watch
LaLiga TV Hypermotion
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Pepico Amat
City
Alicante
Referee
Kickoff
05 Sep, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
CD Eldense
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Mallorca
1
R. Vila
8.4
17
J. Clemente
5.8
5
Á. Serradell
7.2
4
F. Smand
7.0
21
D. R. Montero
6.8
2
I. Recio
6.8
↑ 77'
14
J. Smith
6.9
12
R. López
6.7
↑ 77'
33
A. Olabarrieta
6.3
↑ 58'
15
C. Guirao
7.1
↑ 76'
11
M. Nieto
6.6
↑ 64'
1
A. Tenas
7.1
34
M. Calatayud
7.0
24
M. Valjent
7.6
21
A. Raíllo
7.3
22
A. Soumahoro
6.7
↑ 62'
8
M. Morlanes
7.1
10
S. Darder
8.0
20
P. Torre
6.6
↑ 62'
2
G. Fernández
6.4
↑ 83'
33
A. Liso
6.4
↑ 62'
16
A. Buksa
6.6
↑ 73'
Substitutes
13GJ. Palomares
36GD. Bernabeu
23DJ. Martín↓ 76'6.9
3DJ. Larios
19DA. Ibarrondo
24MJ. Martínez↓ 58'7.1
18MG. Macho↓ 77'7.0
10MFidel↓ 77'6.3
7MJ. Rastrojo
9FM. Carmona↓ 64'6.5
29FD. Rodrigues
16FP. C. D. L. Torre
Coach: Claudio Baragan
Substitutes
25GI. Cuéllar
13GL. Bergström
3DT. Lato↓ 62'7.3
29DL. Orejuela
4DD. López
15DJ. Donald
7MA. Sala↓ 83'6.5
23MA. Roca
6MA. Sánchez
19FJ. Cerdà↓ 62'7.4
11FZ. Luvumbo↓ 62'6.7
18FA. Fuentes↓ 73'6.3
Coach: Luis García Fernández
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.95Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.6
8Total shots11
3Shots on target6
3Big chances2
5Corners8
Shots
1Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
3Big chances missed2
Attack
16Touches in box27
43Final third entries39
1Offsides1
13Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
333Passes437
262Accurate passes380
20/45 (44%)Long balls24/41 (59%)
5/17 (29%)Crosses2/22 (9%)
24Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
25/61 (41%)Ground duels36/61 (59%)
18/28 (64%)Aerial duels10/28 (36%)
3/16 (19%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
3Dispossessed5
Defending
9Tackles16
44Tackles won63
11Interceptions8
32Clearances32
37Recoveries42
Discipline
13Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
7Goal kicks5
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Mallorca to win 45% · 2.50 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.47 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
Who winsEldense to win (DNB) 57% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ 10bet
1X2Eldense to win 27% · 3.68 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.40
CD Eldense
3.30
Draw
2.05
Mallorca
Double Chanceconsensus
1.70
CD Eldense or Draw
1.25
CD Eldense or Mallorca
1.28
Draw or Mallorca
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.34
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.50
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.75
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.67
CD Eldense
1.42
Mallorca
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
2.96
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.38
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.97
Over 11.50
1.28
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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