Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Eibar's home fortress meets Granada's hot streak in a **Segunda División heavyweight clash** — two title contenders slugging it out at Ipurua.** ⚽
Both sides are rolling hard right now (3W-1D-1L), but Eibar's got the venue edge and the **head-to-head dominance** (10 wins in 16 meetings). Granada showed steel with their 3-1 demolition at Córdoba, though, so don't sleep on their attacking threat.
Key storylines:
- **Eibar** missing defensive cover after J. Magunazelaia's red card suspension — means extra pressure on A. Garrido and the backline to stay tight
- **Pejiño and M. Ares** leading Eibar's creative charge at home; Granada's **G. Gumbau** orchestrating from midfield in response
- **J. Pascual and S. Rodelas** spearheading Granada's attack after their clinical form on the road — can they breach an Eibar side that's won both home games?
Expected lineups:
- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, J. Bernat, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, S. Cubero, A. Garrido, M. Arana, M. Ares, A. Madariaga, Pejiño, J. Martón
- **Granada**: R. Lizoain, B. Diallo, M. L. Maroto, J. Flores, S. Lopez, P. Alemañ, R. Alcaraz, G. Gumbau, J. M. Arnáiz, J. Pascual, S. Rodelas
Prediction:
**Eibar 2-1 Granada.** Home advantage and that vicious H2H record give the hosts a slight edge despite Granada's momentum. 🔥
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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