Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Julián Calero Fernández
Real Oviedo
Burgos Club de Fútbol**Real Oviedo are heavy favorites here**, and their home form plus Burgos' wobbly run make this a pretty straightforward call. 🏟️
Oviedo have won 2 of their last 3 and own a brutal **6-3 H2H edge** over Burgos across the last decade. Burgos, meanwhile, are stuck in neutral — one win in five and a habit of shipping goals (2-2 with Sociedad B, 0-1 to Sporting). Home advantage at Carlos Tartiere should seal it.
Key storylines:
- **A. Ișfan and P. Sáenz** spearhead Oviedo's attack; if they stay sharp, Burgos' backline (missing Á. Lizancos) will struggle.
- **Real Oviedo** remain unbeaten at home this season, while **Burgos** haven't kept a clean sheet away yet.
- Injuries to C. Ramos and I. Chaira for Oviedo are minor compared to the overall squad depth advantage.
Expected lineups:
- **Real Oviedo**: A. Escandell, S. Rodríguez, D. Costas, D. Calvo, N. Vidal, A. Reina, Jacobo González, Y. Lachhab, P. Sáenz, A. Ișfan
- **Burgos Club de Fútbol**: A. Cantero, I. Vilarrasa, S. González, G. Sierra, A. Dadie, J. Llabrés, J. Gragera, P. Galdames, D. González, C. Sanchez
Prediction:
**Real Oviedo 2-0 Burgos** — Oviedo's home edge and attacking depth should dominate a fragile Burgos side.
Real Oviedo
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.