Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Cádiz are stuck in neutral — three draws in five — while Las Palmas roll in hot.** 🔥 This feels like a clash between a team treading water and one riding serious momentum.
Las Palmas have won three of their last five and just demolished Ceuta 2-0. Cádiz, meanwhile, can't break through; they're drawing everything at home and leaking goals on the road. The visitors have the edge here, and form rarely lies.
Key storylines:
- **Las Palmas' attacking depth** has been firing — Jefté and Jesé leading the charge while Cádiz's backline looks a bit shaky without I. Tabatadze
- **Cádiz need a spark in midfield** — D. Rodríguez and A. Cordero haven't generated enough to break down opponents
- **Las Palmas missing three bodies** (A. García, M. Fuster, M. Park) but still arrive unbeaten in form; if they weather those absences, they're dangerous
Expected lineups:
- **Cádiz**: J. Ezkieta, J. Castro, J. Díaz, I. Recio, B. Kovačević, A. Cordero, D. Rodríguez, U. Izeta, J. González, A. Garcia-Pascual, J. Domina
- **UD Las Palmas**: J. Caro, E. Clemente, A. Suárez, J. Herzog, V. Pezzolesi, T. Miyashiro, K. Rodríguez, I. Jaime, E. Loiodice, Jefté, Jesé
Prediction:
**Cádiz 1–2 UD Las Palmas**. Las Palmas' form and Cádiz's inability to win at home give the visitors a slight edge. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.