Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Girona's home fortress meets a red-hot Castellón side in a Segunda División clash** — except the stats heavily favor the hosts, who've been absolutely clinical at Montilivi. 🔥
Girona are on a **2W-2D-1L tear** and boast a perfect H2H record against Castellón (6 wins, 1 draw in 7). Meanwhile, **Castellón just rolled through three straight wins**, so they're no pushover — but stepping into Estadi Montilivi is a different animal.
Key storylines:
- **Girona's attacking potency** (5 goals in their last home win vs Las Palmas) will test a Castellón defense missing key pieces
- **Castellón's momentum** could be a real threat if they exploit Girona's tendency to slip up on the road — though this is home turf for the locals
- Girona are without **Portu and J. García** through injury, which dulls their wing game slightly
Expected lineups:
- **Girona FC**: P. Gazzaniga, Á. Moreno, A. Francés, D. López, G. Jordana, F. Beltrán, H. J. Z. Muñoz, B. Gil, I. González, Y. Asprilla, A. Ruíz
- **CD Castellón**: R. Matthys, A. Jiménez, J. Mellot, J. Nieto, A. Sienra, D. Barri, Á. Martín, P. Santiago, H. Bellari, O. Camara, A. Jakobsen
Prediction:
**Girona 2–0 Castellón**
Home advantage and ruthless form give **Girona a clear edge** despite Castellón's three-win streak. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.