Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Mallorca welcome Sabadell to the Balearics looking to keep the momentum rolling** — the hosts are unbeaten in four, while the visitors have won three straight and smell blood. 🔥
Mallorca lean on their home fortress (7 wins vs Sabadell in the last dozen meetings), but CE Sabadell's form is genuinely dangerous right now. That said, the island outfit's mix of defensive grit and creative midfield should edge a squad that just beat Almería and Córdoba away.
Key storylines:
- **Mallorca's defensive solidity** has been the hallmark — clean sheet at Eldense, shutout at home vs Ceuta — tested against **Sabadell's attacking thrust**
- **Midfield control**: **M. Morlanes** and **S. Darder** anchoring possession against a Sabadell side that's leaked goals in two of their last three
- Sabadell's form is red-hot, but the historic matchup favors the hosts — mental edge matters at Son Moix
Expected lineups:
- **Mallorca**: A. Tenas, T. Lato, M. Valjent, A. Raíllo, M. Calatayud, P. Torre, M. Morlanes, S. Darder, A. Roca, Z. Luvumbo, A. Fuentes
- **CE Sabadell**: D. Fuoli, M. Codina, O. S. Naval, E. González, Pipa, P. Pons, A. Orriols, Q. Liameed, J. Priego, T. Ripoll, N. Gioacchini
Prediction:
**Mallorca 2-1 CE Sabadell** — home edge and defensive class nudge the hosts over a slick Sabadell side.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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