Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Eibar rolls into Alicante as the **Segunda División's most in-form side**, while Eldense are stuck in neutral.** This looks like a classic mismatch on paper. 🔴
Eibar have won four of their last five and just demolished Granada 3-0 at home. Eldense, meanwhile, are hovering around .500 with one win in five — they'll need to be disciplined and compact to avoid getting overrun. Defensive solidity will be everything.
Key storylines:
- **Eibar's attacking depth** has been relentless; **J. Bautista**, **J. Guruzeta**, and **M. Ares** form a potent front three that Eldense's back line will struggle to contain
- **CD Eldense's home record** offers a glimmer — they drew with Mallorca on their own turf, so they know how to grind out results when needed
- **Head-to-head history** heavily favors Eibar (three wins in four), suggesting they have Eldense's number
Expected lineups:
- **CD Eldense**: R. Vila, D. R. Montero, F. Smand, Á. Serradell, J. Clemente, J. Smith, G. Macho, J. Martín, R. López, J. Rastrojo, M. Nieto
- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, J. Bernat, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, Á. Rodríguez, A. Garrido, J. Guruzeta, I. Gil, A. Madariaga, M. Ares, J. Bautista
Prediction:
**Eibar 2–0 Eldense**. The visitors' form is simply too sharp; expect Eldense to stay compact but ultimately get breached. 📊
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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