Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Cádiz hosting Girona in a Segunda División clash where neither side can catch a break** — draws and defeats have been the soundtrack lately, but Girona's recent firepower (5-2 demolition of Las Palmas) suggests they've got teeth. 🔥
Cádiz are stuck in neutral: three draws and two losses across their last five, no wins in sight. Girona flicker hot-cold — beat Sporting 2-0, got embarrassed at home by Castellón 1-2 next time out. Both squads are banged up: Cádiz missing Petit, Tabatadze, and Arribas; Girona down four including Portu and García.
Key storylines:
- **Girona's attack vs Cádiz's leaky defense** — Las Palmas just conceded five; will the yellow-and-white hold firm at the Mirandilla?
- **Cádiz's midfield workload** — D. Rodríguez and J. Orellana have to shield a stretched backline against Girona's playmakers
- **H2H momentum** — Girona's got the edge historically (5 wins to Cádiz's 4 in 11), but form trumps the record book here
Expected lineups:
- **Cádiz**: J. Ezkieta, C. Gutiérrez, J. Castro, B. Kovačević, J. Díaz, D. Rodríguez, J. Orellana, A. Cordero, I. Sánchez, A. Garcia-Pascual, U. Izeta
- **Girona FC**: P. Gazzaniga, Á. Moreno, A. Francés, D. López, G. Jordana, F. Beltrán, H. J. Z. Muñoz, O. Pyshchur, I. González, Y. Asprilla, V. Vanat
Prediction:
**Girona 2–1 Cádiz**. Girona's recent spark edges a coin flip; Cádiz's form is just too blunt. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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