Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Leganés hold the home-court edge here — they've dominated Granada historically and are on a solid run at Butarque.** Both sides sit at 2W-2D-1L, so it's basically a coin flip on paper, but the head-to-head tells the real story. 🔥
Leganés are trending up with back-to-back wins (including a shutout at home vs Eldense), while Granada just got hammered 0-3 away at Eibar after a dodgy draw at home. That's the kind of wobble that matters on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Leganés' 5-3-2 shape** has them stretched thin defensively with only three at the back, so Granada's front three of **J. M. Arnáiz, J. Pascual, and A. Marqués** will hunt for space
- **Á. Morata leading the Leganés attack** alongside P. Soko gives them a familiar threat; missing E. Franquesa limits depth at the back
- **Granada's R. Lizoain in goal** has a lot to prove after that Eibar rout — if Leganés' midfield (N. García, M. Atienza, Z. Buurmeester) controls tempo, it could be a long afternoon
Expected lineups:
- **Leganés**: L. Zidane, Marvel, I. Miquel, L. Aguilar, I. Gharbi, N. García, M. Atienza, Z. Buurmeester, Y. Kechta, P. Soko, Á. Morata
- **Granada**: R. Lizoain, B. Diallo, M. L. Maroto, B. Dembelé, S. Lopez, P. Alemañ, R. Alcaraz, G. Gumbau, J. M. Arnáiz, J. Pascual, A. Marqués
Prediction:
**Leganés 2–0 Granada**. Home form, the H2H lean, and Granada's recent fragility point to a straightforward Leganés win. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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