Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Ceuta's in freefall, but Real Sociedad B just lost to Mallorca — neither team's exactly lighting the second tier on fire.** This is a tale of two sides desperate to find some momentum. 🔥
Ceuta hasn't won in five games, stuck in a relegation-battle vibe, while Sociedad B are middling — they've got wins mixed with draws and that shock home loss. Ceuta actually have a slight edge in recent h2h, though form says the away side should be favored here.
Key storylines:
- **AD Ceuta's defensive woes** — injuries to key players like Anuar and K. O. Mamah pile on, and they've shipped 2+ goals in three of their last five
- **Real Sociedad B chasing consistency** — solid on their day (beat FC Andorra 3-1) but dropped points at home to Mallorca, a team they should handle
- **Ceuta's home record** — only one draw in five at Estadio Municipal; they need a spark badly
Expected lineups:
- **AD Ceuta**: G. Vallejo, Redru, Carlos, A. Lapeña, Á. Petxa, A. Meléndez, K. Zalazar, Y. Bodiger, K. A. Kone
- **Real Sociedad B**: A. Fraga, U. Agote, K. Kita, I. Calderon, J. Garro, T. Carbonell, I. Aguirre, A. Mariezkurrena
Prediction:
**Real Sociedad B 2–0 AD Ceuta**
The away side's form edge and Ceuta's injury list give Sociedad B a slight lean, though nothing's certain in Segunda División madness. 📋
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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