Eibar 3-2 UD Las Palmas: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 27, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Eibar 3-2 UD Las Palmas.

90+4'

I. González

Second yellow card for I. González (UD Las Palmas), who is sent off.

90+2'

I. González

Yellow card for I. González (UD Las Palmas) for foul.

90+1'

V. Pezzolesi

Yellow card for V. Pezzolesi (UD Las Palmas) for foul.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

87'

I. Jaime

Attempt missed. I. Jaime (UD Las Palmas), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

86'

A. Rodríguez

Yellow card for A. Rodríguez (UD Las Palmas) for foul.

85'

Jefté

Goal! Eibar 3-2 UD Las Palmas. Jefté (UD Las Palmas) scores, assisted by E. Romero.

82'

UD Las Palmas

Corner, UD Las Palmas.

82'

E. Romero

Attempt blocked. E. Romero (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

82'

T. Miyashiro

Attempt blocked. T. Miyashiro (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

81'

I. Jaime

Yellow card for I. Jaime (UD Las Palmas) for simulation.

81'

G. Bonfanti

Substitution, UD Las Palmas: S. Ramírez comes on for G. Bonfanti.

80'

U. Elgezabal

Attempt missed. U. Elgezabal (Eibar), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

80'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

79'

L. Núñez

Attempt blocked. L. Núñez (Eibar), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

79'

J. Guruzeta

Substitution, Eibar: Pejiño comes on for J. Guruzeta.

78'

Eibar

Offside, Eibar.

71'

Jesé

Substitution, UD Las Palmas: E. Romero comes on for Jesé.

71'

A. Suárez

Substitution, UD Las Palmas: A. Rodríguez comes on for A. Suárez.

70'

E. Gift

Attempt blocked. E. Gift (Eibar), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

70'

J. Bautista

Attempt missed. J. Bautista (Eibar), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.43.

69'

K. Rodríguez

Yellow card for K. Rodríguez (UD Las Palmas) for argument.

69'

A. Garrido

Substitution, Eibar: L. Núñez comes on for A. Garrido.

68'

M. Ares

Substitution, Eibar: E. Gift comes on for M. Ares.

68'

J. Martón

Substitution, Eibar: J. Bautista comes on for J. Martón.

66'

Eibar

Offside, Eibar.

62'

J. Martón

Goal! Eibar 3-1 UD Las Palmas. J. Martón (Eibar) scores, assisted by J. Guruzeta.

61'

M. Fuster

Substitution, UD Las Palmas: Jefté comes on for M. Fuster.

58'

M. Fuster

Attempt missed. M. Fuster (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

54'

V. Pezzolesi

Attempt saved. V. Pezzolesi (UD Las Palmas), header. xG 0.14.

52'

A. Arbilla

Attempt blocked. A. Arbilla (Eibar), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

52'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

50'

J. Martón

Attempt missed. J. Martón (Eibar), header. xG 0.04.

49'

K. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. K. Rodríguez (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

47'

Jesé

Attempt saved. Jesé (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Eibar 2-1 UD Las Palmas.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Martón

Attempt saved. J. Martón (Eibar), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

38'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

38'

J. Magunazelaia

Attempt missed. J. Magunazelaia (Eibar), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

38'

J. Magunazelaia

Attempt blocked. J. Magunazelaia (Eibar), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

37'

A. Suárez

Yellow card for A. Suárez (UD Las Palmas) for handball.

36'

A. Arbilla

Attempt missed. A. Arbilla (Eibar), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

36'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

35'

J. Martón

Attempt blocked. J. Martón (Eibar), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

29'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

28'

G. Bonfanti

Yellow card for G. Bonfanti (UD Las Palmas) for foul.

27'

I. Jaime

Attempt missed. I. Jaime (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

V. Pezzolesi

Goal! Eibar 2-1 UD Las Palmas. V. Pezzolesi (UD Las Palmas) scores, assisted by I. Jaime.

23'

M. Fuster

Attempt saved. M. Fuster (UD Las Palmas), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

21'

Eibar

Corner, Eibar.

18'

J. Martón

Attempt missed. J. Martón (Eibar), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

15'

J. Martón

Attempt blocked. J. Martón (Eibar), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

12'

Eibar

Offside, Eibar.

10'

J. Martón

Attempt saved. J. Martón (Eibar), header. xG 0.07.

9'

Á. Rodríguez

Goal! Eibar 2-0 UD Las Palmas. Á. Rodríguez (Eibar) scores, assisted by M. Ares.

6'

A. Madariaga

Goal! Eibar 1-0 UD Las Palmas. A. Madariaga (Eibar) scores, assisted by M. Ares.

3'

M. Ares

Attempt saved. M. Ares (Eibar), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: Eibar vs UD Las Palmas.

Where the money is

480456 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 318281 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.2%

-11.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

8.0%

+7.9 vs price

Draw 410.0 · implied 0.2%

4.8%

+4.5 vs price

Half time 317 EUR

Away 5.4 · implied 18.5%

52.7%

+34.2 vs price

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

40.7%

-1.0 vs price

Home 2.5 · implied 40.0%

6.3%

-33.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 12426 EUR · live

Under 10.5 · implied 9.5%

54.5%

+44.9 vs price

Over 1.11 · implied 90.1%

45.5%

-44.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ A. Madariaga · assist M. Ares1–0

9' ⚽ Á. Rodríguez · assist M. Ares2–0

24' ⚽ V. Pezzolesi · assist I. Jaime2–1

28' G. Bonfanti · Foul

37' A. Suárez · Handball

Half-time · 2–1

61' 🔁 Jefté ◂ M. Fuster

62' ⚽ J. Martón · assist J. Guruzeta3–1

68' 🔁 J. Bautista ◂ J. Martón

68' 🔁 E. Gift ◂ M. Ares

69' K. Rodríguez · Argument

69' 🔁 L. Núñez ◂ A. Garrido

71' 🔁 A. Rodríguez ◂ A. Suárez

71' 🔁 E. Romero ◂ Jesé

79' 🔁 Pejiño ◂ J. Guruzeta

81' I. Jaime · Simulation

81' 🔁 S. Ramírez ◂ G. Bonfanti

85' ⚽ Jefté · assist E. Romero3–2

86' A. Rodríguez · Foul

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺¹ V. Pezzolesi · Foul

90'⁺² I. González · Foul

90'⁺⁴ I. González · Foul

Coaches

Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga

Rubén de la Barrera

Recent form

Eibar

WACD Eldense2-1

WACelta Fortuna4-0

WHGranada3-0

WAFC Andorra1-0

WHReal Valladolid1-0

UD Las Palmas

LHBurgos Club de Fútbol1-2

WACádiz1-0

DHLeganés0-0

LAGirona FC2-5

WAAD Ceuta2-0

About this match

**Eibar are on a tear and UD Las Palmas are limping in** — this Segunda División clash at Ipurua is basically a form metre gone haywire. 🔥

Eibar have won all five of their last games, dropping zero points and looking untouchable. Las Palmas, meanwhile, have picked up just 2W from 5 and come in bruised, missing five players to injury.

Key storylines:

- **Eibar's perfect run** continues against a patched-up away side that's been streaky all season
- **Las Palmas injury crisis** is brutal — A. Suárez, E. Clemente, M. Park, and N. Opoku all out; they're fielding a skeleton crew
- **Pejiño and J. Bautista** lead the Eibar attack against K. Rodríguez and V. Pezzolesi at the back

Expected lineups:

- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, J. Bernat, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, Á. Rodríguez, A. Garrido, I. Gil, M. Ares, A. Madariaga, Pejiño, J. Bautista
- **UD Las Palmas**: J. Caro, M. Fuster, K. Rodríguez, G. Bonfanti, V. Pezzolesi, T. Miyashiro, E. Loiodice, I. Jaime, I. González, Jefté, Jesé

Prediction:

**Eibar 2–0 UD Las Palmas**

Eibar at home in this form, with Las Palmas crippled by injuries. Hosts are the clear edge.

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Stadium

Ipurua Municipal Stadium

City

Eibar

Referee

Salvador Lax Franco

4.84 yellows/match · 49 matches

Kickoff

27 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Segunda División

Highlights & clips

Eibar 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 UD Las Palmas

13 J. M. Magunagoitia 6.7 22 Á. Rodríguez 8.1 4 U. Elgezabal 6.9 23 A. Arbilla 7.4 24 J. Bernat 6.6 28 L. Núñez 6.6 ↑ 69' 8 A. Madariaga 8.5 27 E. Gift 7.0 ↑ 68' 11 J. Magunazelaia 6.3 17 Pejiño 6.7 ↑ 79' 9 J. Bautista 6.6 ↑ 68' 13 J. Caro 6.1 25 V. Pezzolesi 7.2 23 A. Rodríguez 6.6 ↑ 71' 19 S. Ramírez 6.4 ↑ 81' 12 E. Loiodice 7.3 11 T. Miyashiro 5.9 20 K. Rodríguez 6.9 6 I. González 7.1 24 I. Jaime 7.0 29 E. Romero 6.7 ↑ 71' 7 Jefté 7.2 ↑ 61'

Substitutes

1GL. López 18DM. Arana 2DS. Cubero 3DI. G. d. Albéniz 15DJair 7MM. Ares↓ 68'7.6 30MA. Garrido↓ 69'7.6 10MJ. Guruzeta↓ 79'7.3 21MI. Gil 19ME. Pérez 20FJ. Martón↓ 68'6.9

Coach: Jokin Arambarri Arrizabalaga

Substitutes

4GA. Suárez↓ 71' 35GA. Suárez 41GJ. Valverde 21DG. Bonfanti↓ 81'6.8 44DA. Vázquez 42DR. Saiah 3DN. Opoku 14MM. Fuster↓ 61'6.5 26MA. Bassinga 30MI. Medina 16MM. Acimovic 10FJesé↓ 71'6.3

Coach: Rubén de la Barrera

Top stats

49%Possession51%

2.11Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.93

18Total shots11

6Shots on target5

4Big chances1

6Corners1

Shots

6Shots off target4

6Blocked shots2

13Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box5

2Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed0

Attack

29Touches in box20

64Final third entries72

3Offsides0

12Free kicks6

3Fouled in final third0

Passing

466Passes489

403Accurate passes424

39/65 (60%)Long balls21/49 (43%)

6/17 (35%)Crosses4/18 (22%)

22Throw-ins18

Duels

50Duels50

37/72 (51%)Ground duels35/72 (49%)

7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)

8/23 (35%)Dribbles4/17 (24%)

10Dispossessed6

Defending

19Tackles25

74Tackles won72

7Interceptions11

23Clearances15

54Recoveries50

Discipline

6Fouls12

0Yellow cards8

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

7Goal kicks6

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Eibar 48%

28%

Las Palmas 24%

Who winsEibar to win (DNB) 74% · 1.33 @ 888Sport

1X2Eibar to win 48% · 2.30 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 28% · 2.54 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.37 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.17 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

1X2Las Palmas to win 24% · 4.10 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.91

Eibar

3.30

Draw

3.70

UD Las Palmas

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Eibar or Draw

1.25

Eibar or UD Las Palmas

1.85

Draw or UD Las Palmas

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.92

Over 2.50

1.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.31

Over 3.50

1.31

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.65

Over 4.50

1.09

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.33

Eibar

3.10

UD Las Palmas

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.35

Over 7.50

2.68

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.67

Over 8.50

2.08

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.10

Over 9.50

1.66

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.65

Over 10.50

1.37

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.35

Over 11.50

1.19

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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