Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Girona rolls into this one as the heavy favorites** — they're flying high with three wins in their last five, while Albacete can't catch a break on the road. 🔥
Girona's been sharp at home, mixing solid defensive work with quick transitions through **F. Beltrán** and **I. González** in midfield. Albacete, meanwhile, are battling injuries across the backline and haven't won since... well, they haven't won recently, so confidence is thin on the ground.
Key storylines:
- **Girona's attacking depth** with **Y. Asprilla** and **V. Vanat** pressing high while Albacete's backline is stretched thin
- Missing pieces for both sides — Girona lose some defensive solidity, but Albacete's injury crisis in defense is far more damaging
- Home advantage at Montilivi has been a fortress; Albacete's road record is crumbling
Expected lineups:
- **Girona FC**: P. Gazzaniga, G. Badía, Á. Moreno, A. Mumin, G. Jordana, F. Beltrán, I. González, V. Vanat, Y. Asprilla, J. González, A. Ruíz
- **Albacete Balompié**: D. Mariño, C. Neva, L. López, J. Corpas, F. Gámez, A. Albarracín, S. Ortuño, J. Villar, A. Pacheco, M. Soberón, A. Rubio
Prediction:
**Girona 2–0 Albacete.** Girona have the edge in every department — form, home turf, and squad health. Easy three points.
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.7% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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