Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Mallorca's back on the island with momentum, Almería rolling too** — this Segunda División clash shapes up as a proper scrap between two teams that know how to win right now. 🔥
Mallorca are sitting pretty with three wins in five, though they've got injury headaches and a few on international duty. Almería match that three-win tally but come in a touch rockier — two losses mixed in despite some slick recent wins.
Key storylines:
- **S. Darder and M. Morlanes** anchor Mallorca's midfield in a 4-4-2 that's been grinding out results at home
- **Á. Embarba and A. Roca** are the creative fulcrums — if Almería's attacking trio clicks, this gets spicy
- Mallorca's home record edges it in the H2H tally (10-7-7 all-time), but Almería have shown they can score in clusters this season
Expected lineups:
- **Mallorca**: A. Tenas, T. Lato, A. Raíllo, A. Soumahoro, M. Calatayud, S. Darder, M. Morlanes, A. Sala
- **Almería**: A. Fernández, Á. Muñoz, F. Bonini, J. Pulido, D. Chirino, S. Džodić, J. Muñoz, Á. Sola
Prediction:
**Mallorca 2-1 Almería** — home turf and form give the hosts a slight edge, but expect Almería to make it uncomfortable. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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