Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Almería's form is absolutely cooking right now, and Burgos just can't stop drawing.** The hosts roll in as heavy favorites off four straight wins, while the visitors are solid but frustratingly inconsistent. 🔥
Almería's back-to-back shutouts (2-0 shutouts vs Celta Fortuna and Córdoba) show real defensive organization, and they're averaging over a goal a game. Burgos, though? Two draws in their last five tell you they're dangerous on the road but struggle to put teams away.
Key storylines:
- **Almería's attack** has been relentless — Thalys and Á. Sola will be hungry to extend the winning run on home turf
- **Burgos' away form** is respectable (2W-2D), but they're missing Á. Lizancos (meniscus injury) in defense, which is a blow
- **H2H leans Almería's way** — 3 wins to 2 in the last six head-to-heads
Expected lineups:
- **Almería**: A. Fernández, F. Bonini, Á. Muñoz, R. Ely, D. Chirino, A. Embarba, Q. Junyent, M. d. l. Fuente, J. Muñoz, Á. Sola, Thalys
- **Burgos Club de Fútbol**: A. Cantero, I. Vilarrasa, G. Sierra, O. Luengo, A. Dadie, J. Llabrés, J. Gragera, U. Vencedor, D. González, C. Sanchez, Á. Forés
Prediction:
**Almería 2-0 Burgos.** Home advantage, form advantage, and a Burgos unit stretched thin in the back — this looks like another dominant display for the hosts. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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