Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Cádiz's misfiring form meets Leganés' inconsistency in a Segunda División scrap that neither side can afford to bungle.** Both have wobbled lately, making this a classic "who wants it less" vibe. 🤔
Cádiz are winless in five and bleeding goals at home, while Leganés alternate between beating Granada and getting dismantled by Tenerife. The head-to-head leans Cádiz's way historically, but current momentum? Basically a coin flip.
Key storylines:
- **Cádiz's leaky defence** is a worry; missing **Kovačević** and battling injury gremlins will test their backline against **Morata** and Leganés' forward thrust
- **Leganés' 3-2-4-1** shape gives them width with **Kechta** and **Soko**, but they've shipped two goals in consecutive road games
- **Home advantage at Nuevo Mirandilla** could be the deciding edge for Cádiz if they can string together passes and actually finish
Expected lineups:
- **Cádiz**: J. Ezkieta, M. Doué, J. Castro, M. Fernández, J. Díaz, D. Rodríguez, J. Orellana, A. Cordero, I. Sánchez, A. Garcia-Pascual, U. Izeta
- **Leganés**: L. Zidane, Marvel, L. Aguilar, I. Miquel, R. Peña, M. Atienza, N. García, Y. Kechta, P. Soko, Á. Morata, Á. Sancris
Prediction: **1-1 draw.** Both offences will find the net, but neither defence is sharp enough to hold on.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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