Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Girona's red-hot form meets a scrappy Mallorca side hungry for a statement win.** This Segunda División clash has all the makings of a proper dogfight at Montilivi. 🔥
Girona are flying — four wins in five — while Mallorca have wobbled recently, dropping points to Almería at home. Both teams are nursing injury headaches, but Girona's squad depth looks sharper on paper. The H2H leans Mallorca's way historically, though, so expect them to come with a chip on their shoulder.
Key storylines:
- **Girona's attacking trio** of D. van de Beek, C. Pérez, and A. Ruíz will be tasked with breaking down a Mallorca defence anchored by A. Raíllo and A. Soumahoro
- **Mallorca's counter-threat**: S. Darder and P. Torre need to inject tempo into a midfield fighting injuries, with A. Buksa leading the line
- **Home advantage** matters in Segunda División — Girona's Montilivi form is a weapon they can lean on
Expected lineups:
- **Girona FC**: P. Gazzaniga, Á. Moreno, A. Francés, D. López, J. Boñar, I. González, I. Morante, D. van de Beek, C. Pérez, A. Ruíz
- **Mallorca**: A. Tenas, T. Lato, A. Raíllo, A. Soumahoro, M. Calatayud, A. Liso, S. Darder, P. Torre, A. Buksa
Prediction:
**Girona 2–1 Mallorca.** Girona edge this one on momentum and home comfort, but Mallorca refuse to go quietly.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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