Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Las Palmas are struggling to find their feet, but Valladolid roll in as the sharper side** — this is a clash between a team limping through the campaign and one actually building momentum. 🔴
Las Palmas have won just once in five, including back-to-back home losses. Valladolid, meanwhile, are 2W-2D in their last five and rocked Real Oviedo 3-0 not long ago. The Canary Islanders will need to tighten up fast at Gran Canaria.
Key storylines:
- **Jesé and Jefté** have to carry the offensive load for Las Palmas with so much firepower sidelined by injury
- **Real Valladolid's midfield balance** — Ponceau and Ojeda controlling tempo against a home side desperate to break their funk
- **Set-piece vulnerability** — Las Palmas have leaked goals at home; Valladolid's defense (Torres, Martínez anchoring) could exploit that
Expected lineups:
- **UD Las Palmas**: J. Caro, I. Jaime, G. Bonfanti, A. Suárez, V. Pezzolesi, M. Fuster, T. Miyashiro, K. Rodríguez, Jesé, Jefté
- **Real Valladolid**: A. A. Catalina, I. G. Muñoz, D. Torres, R. Martínez, J. Ponceau, T. Ojeda, K. de Rooij, Y. Cabanzón, J. Latasa
Prediction:
**Las Palmas 1–2 Real Valladolid** — Valladolid's form and solidity edge out a wounded home side. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.