Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Real Sociedad B's home turf should be an advantage, but Granada's head-to-head dominance is genuinely unsettling.** Neither side is exactly firing on all cylinders, but the hosts at least have a familiar fortress to work with. 🏟️
Real Sociedad B are hovering around .500 with a frustrating mix of blowouts and narrow defeats. Granada arrived in worse form—three losses in their last five, including back-to-back comebacks against them. The visitors have zero margin for error here.
Key storylines:
- **Real Sociedad B** banking on home comfort after consecutive defeats at the Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta to stabilize
- **Granada's** defensive brittleness (shipping 6 goals in their last two matches) versus a Sociedad B attack missing suspension-hit depth
- H2H alarm bells: Granada swept both recent matchups—Real Sociedad B must find an answer or risk a third straight loss to a struggling opponent
Expected lineups:
- **Real Sociedad B**: A. Fraga, J. Balda, I. Ropero, I. Calderon, J. Garro, T. Carbonell, I. Aguirre, E. Orobengoa
- **Granada**: R. Lizoain, D. Pampín, M. L. Maroto, B. Gimber, S. Lopez, B. Dembelé, G. Gumbau, R. Alcaraz
Prediction:
**Real Sociedad B 2–1 Granada** — Home edge and Granada's form collapse should finally swing this, but it stays tight. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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