AD Ceuta 1-2 CE Sabadell: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. AD Ceuta 1-2 CE Sabadell.

90+4'

E. Sevikyan

Attempt blocked. E. Sevikyan (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+4'

O. Sadik

Attempt missed. O. Sadik (AD Ceuta), shot. xG 0.10.

90+3'

A. Meléndez

Attempt saved. A. Meléndez (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

88'

E. Aguilar

Yellow card for E. Aguilar (CE Sabadell) for foul.

87'

Á. Baena

Substitution, CE Sabadell: N. Obolskiy comes on for Á. Baena.

85'

Carlos

Substitution, AD Ceuta: A. Meléndez comes on for Carlos.

85'

G. Okoro

Substitution, AD Ceuta: O. Sadik comes on for G. Okoro.

84'

J. Escobar

Attempt missed. J. Escobar (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

83'

AD Ceuta

Corner, AD Ceuta.

80'

Á. Baena

Goal! AD Ceuta 1-2 CE Sabadell. Á. Baena (CE Sabadell) scores, assisted by P. Pons.

80'

T. Ripoll

Substitution, CE Sabadell: Y. Rahmani comes on for T. Ripoll.

80'

Q. Liameed

Substitution, CE Sabadell: P. Pons comes on for Q. Liameed.

79'

A. Camacho

Substitution, AD Ceuta: A. B. Espinosa comes on for A. Camacho.

78'

AD Ceuta

Corner, AD Ceuta.

78'

E. Sevikyan

Attempt missed. E. Sevikyan (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

78'

J. Escobar

Attempt saved. J. Escobar (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.27.

76'

Á. Petxa

Attempt saved. Á. Petxa (AD Ceuta), header. xG 0.09.

74'

E. Sevikyan

Attempt blocked. E. Sevikyan (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

71'

K. Zalazar

Attempt blocked. K. Zalazar (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

71'

K. Zalazar

Attempt blocked. K. Zalazar (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

63'

M. Illescas

Attempt missed. M. Illescas (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

62'

Á. Petxa

Attempt missed. Á. Petxa (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

59'

A. Ribeiro

Substitution, CE Sabadell: J. L. Catala comes on for A. Ribeiro.

58'

E. Sevikyan

Attempt missed. E. Sevikyan (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

Carlos

Attempt blocked. Carlos (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

53'

E. González

Second yellow card for E. González (CE Sabadell), who is sent off.

52'

A. Ribeiro

Attempt missed. A. Ribeiro (CE Sabadell), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

51'

CE Sabadell

Corner, CE Sabadell.

49'

J. Priego

Attempt missed. J. Priego (CE Sabadell), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

M. Codina

Substitution, CE Sabadell: E. Aguilar comes on for M. Codina.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. AD Ceuta 1-1 CE Sabadell.

45+5'

J. Priego

Attempt blocked. J. Priego (CE Sabadell), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

45+5'

J. Escobar

Goal! AD Ceuta 1-1 CE Sabadell. J. Escobar (AD Ceuta) scores.

45'

6 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Matos

Attempt missed. J. Matos (AD Ceuta), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

44'

E. González

Yellow card for E. González (CE Sabadell).

35'

D. M. Soria

Substitution, AD Ceuta: Á. Petxa comes on for D. M. Soria.

35'

J. González

Substitution, AD Ceuta: M. Illescas comes on for J. González.

32'

AD Ceuta

Corner, AD Ceuta.

32'

E. Sevikyan

Attempt missed. E. Sevikyan (AD Ceuta), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

32'

CE Sabadell

Offside, CE Sabadell.

31'

A. Orriols

Attempt saved. A. Orriols (CE Sabadell), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

26'

Á. Baena

Goal! AD Ceuta 0-1 CE Sabadell. Á. Baena (CE Sabadell) scores, assisted by Q. Liameed.

25'

J. Escobar

Yellow card for J. Escobar (AD Ceuta) for argument.

23'

Á. Baena

Attempt missed. Á. Baena (CE Sabadell), header. xG 0.20.

19'

Á. Baena

Attempt blocked. Á. Baena (CE Sabadell), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

A. Ribeiro

Attempt blocked. A. Ribeiro (CE Sabadell), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

17'

CE Sabadell

Corner, CE Sabadell.

14'

T. Ripoll

Yellow card for T. Ripoll (CE Sabadell) for foul.

10'

Á. Baena

VAR: penalty awarded to CE Sabadell.

5'

CE Sabadell

Offside, CE Sabadell.

4'

O. S. Naval

Attempt blocked. O. S. Naval (CE Sabadell), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

3'

A. Bonaldo

Attempt missed. A. Bonaldo (CE Sabadell), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

1'

Kick-off: AD Ceuta vs CE Sabadell.

Where the money is

124177 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 87942 EUR · live

Away 1.09 · implied 91.7%

67.5%

-24.2 vs price

Draw 12.5 · implied 8.0%

16.5%

+8.5 vs price

Home 260.0 · implied 0.4%

15.9%

+15.5 vs price

Half time 103 EUR · live

Draw 1.97 · implied 50.8%

94.9%

+44.1 vs price

Away 3.4 · implied 29.4%

1.9%

-27.5 vs price

Home 5.1 · implied 19.6%

1.0%

-18.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 13143 EUR · live

Over 3.05 · implied 32.8%

55.0%

+22.3 vs price

Under 1.49 · implied 67.1%

45.0%

-22.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 278 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

83.0%

-12.2 vs price

Over 19.5 · implied 5.1%

16.5%

+11.4 vs price

8 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' VAR Penalty not given after review · Á. Baena

14' T. Ripoll · Foul

25' J. Escobar · Argument

26' ⚽ Á. Baena · assist Q. Liameed0–1

35' 🔁 M. Illescas ◂ J. González

35' 🔁 Á. Petxa ◂ D. M. Soria

44' E. González

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺⁵ ⚽ J. Escobar1–1

46' 🔁 E. Aguilar ◂ M. Codina

53' E. González · Foul

59' 🔁 J. L. Catala ◂ A. Ribeiro

79' 🔁 A. B. Espinosa ◂ A. Camacho

80' ⚽ Á. Baena · assist P. Pons1–2

80' 🔁 P. Pons ◂ Q. Liameed

80' 🔁 Y. Rahmani ◂ T. Ripoll

85' 🔁 O. Sadik ◂ G. Okoro

85' 🔁 A. Meléndez ◂ Carlos

87' 🔁 N. Obolskiy ◂ Á. Baena

88' E. Aguilar · Foul

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

José Juan Romero

Ferran Costa

Recent form

AD Ceuta

DACD Castellón1-1

WHReal Sociedad B3-1

DHReal Valladolid1-1

LABurgos Club de Fútbol1-3

LHCelta Fortuna0-2

CE Sabadell

DHFC Andorra0-0

DACelta Fortuna1-1

WHReal Oviedo3-1

LAMallorca0-2

WHCórdoba3-2

About this match

**Ceuta's home fortress meets a streaky Sabadell side looking to keep pace.** Both teams are treading water in Segunda División, but this could be the spark either needs. 🔥

Ceuta have been a mixed bag at home—they beat Real Sociedad B convincingly but also drew twice against tougher opposition. Sabadell are marginally sharper on form (2W in their last 5) and just dismantled Real Oviedo 3-1, so don't sleep on the visitors.

Key storylines:

- **Ceuta's forward line** of K. A. Kone, J. Escobar, and A. Camacho will need to click without K. O. Mamah's presence in the squad
- **Sabadell's midfield** anchored by A. Orriols and J. López has been the engine behind their recent wins
- Home advantage could tilt it Ceuta's way, but missing Mamah is a blow to their depth

Expected lineups:

- **AD Ceuta**: G. Vallejo, J. Matos, Carlos, A. Caparrós, Á. Petxa, A. Meléndez, K. Zalazar, Y. Bodiger, K. A. Kone
- **CE Sabadell**: D. Fuoli, M. Codina, E. González, J. L. Catala, Pipa, J. López, A. Orriols, Q. Liameed, J. Priego

Prediction:

**1-1 draw.** Both teams have the quality to create chances but neither quite has the killer instinct to put this one away cleanly. Lean draw.

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

City

Ceuta

Referee

Olatz Rivera Olmedo

3.69 yellows/match · 16 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 14:15 UTC

Competition

Segunda División

Highlights & clips

AD Ceuta 4-3-3 · 4-4-2 CE Sabadell

13 G. Vallejo 5.6 4 A. Caparrós 7.1 20 A. Meléndez 6.9 ↑ 85' 18 Á. Petxa 6.8 ↑ 35' 3 J. Matos 6.4 19 E. Sevikyan 7.1 10 M. Illescas 6.8 ↑ 35' 29 O. Sadik 6.4 ↑ 85' 28 A. B. Espinosa 6.3 ↑ 79' 9 J. Escobar 7.9 8 K. Zalazar 7.0 1 D. Fuoli 7.0 14 O. S. Naval 6.8 6 E. González 5.6 5 A. Bonaldo 6.6 24 E. Aguilar 6.5 ↑ 46' 19 Y. Rahmani 6.5 ↑ 80' 20 A. Orriols 6.3 27 J. L. Catala 6.8 ↑ 59' 8 P. Pons 7.3 ↑ 80' 23 J. Priego 6.6 9 N. Obolskiy 6.6 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

1GP. López 34DD. M. Soria↓ 35'6.5 6DCarlos↓ 85'6.2 5DA. Lapeña 32MG. Okoro↓ 85'6.9 7MA. Camacho↓ 79'6.7 15MJ. González↓ 35'6.4 17MM. Mensah 26MA. Betancourt 14MY. Bodiger 11FC. Teguia

Coach: José Juan Romero

Substitutes

13GJ. Ortega 25GM. Vidal 7DT. Ripoll↓ 80'7.2 4DM. Codina↓ 46'6.3 10MÁ. Baena↓ 87'8.7 22MQ. Liameed↓ 80'7.1 21MA. Ribeiro↓ 59'6.6 33FQ. Utges 12FG. Valles

Coach: Ferran Costa

Top stats

67%Possession33%

1.28Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.04

17Total shots11

4Shots on target3

4Big chances4

2Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target3

5Blocked shots5

9Shots inside box7

8Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored2

4Big chances missed2

Attack

25Touches in box20

77Final third entries58

0Offsides2

22Free kicks8

0Fouled in final third1

Passing

520Passes246

413Accurate passes159

19/59 (32%)Long balls15/63 (24%)

6/17 (35%)Crosses4/22 (18%)

25Throw-ins13

Duels

51Duels49

48/81 (59%)Ground duels33/81 (41%)

14/40 (35%)Aerial duels26/40 (65%)

13/16 (81%)Dribbles3/13 (23%)

19Dispossessed4

Defending

14Tackles22

64Tackles won73

8Interceptions13

22Clearances38

62Recoveries57

Discipline

8Fouls22

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

0Big saves1

5Goal kicks16

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Ceuta 30%

29%

Sabadell 41%

Who winsSabadell to win (DNB) 56% · 1.69 @ Novibet

1X2Sabadell to win 41% · 2.70 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.27 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 29% · 2.41 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.30 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.87 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.20 @ William Hill

1X2Ceuta to win 30% · 3.40 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.00

AD Ceuta

3.20

Draw

2.25

CE Sabadell

Double Chanceconsensus

1.59

AD Ceuta or Draw

1.30

AD Ceuta or CE Sabadell

1.33

Draw or CE Sabadell

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.93

Yes

1.75

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

8.85

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.14

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.09

Over 2.50

1.71

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.80

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.15

AD Ceuta

1.63

CE Sabadell

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.48

Over 7.50

2.41

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.85

Over 8.50

1.92

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.31

Over 9.50

1.52

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.95

Over 10.50

1.25

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.90

Over 11.50

1.14

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue