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Burgos Club de Fútbol
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Granada
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Granada
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Granada
Sergio Francisco
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Granada
Burgos Club de Fútbol
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Granada
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Burgos Club de Fútbol 0-1 Granada.
90+7'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Offside, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
78'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Corner, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
76'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Corner, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
70'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Corner, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
67'
Granada
Offside, Granada.
63'
Attempt missed. P. Galdames (Burgos Club de Fútbol), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
59'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Offside, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
48'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Offside, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Burgos Club de Fútbol 0-1 Granada.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
35'
Attempt missed. Á. Forés (Burgos Club de Fútbol), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
32'
Granada
Offside, Granada.
31'
Attempt blocked. Á. Lizancos (Burgos Club de Fútbol), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
25'
Goal! Burgos Club de Fútbol 0-1 Granada. P. Alemañ (Granada) scores, assisted by S. Rodelas.
24'
Attempt saved. Á. Lizancos (Burgos Club de Fútbol), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
14'
Burgos Club de Fútbol
Corner, Burgos Club de Fútbol.
1'
Granada
Offside, Granada.
1'
Kick-off: Burgos Club de Fútbol vs Granada.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
200263 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
70.5%
-26.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.8%
+17.7 vs price
Draw
70.0 · implied 1.4%
11.7%
+10.3 vs price
Half time
1314 EUR · live
Draw
2.0 · implied 50.0%
63.2%
+13.2 vs price
Home
3.7 · implied 27.0%
28.7%
+1.7 vs price
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
8.0%
-16.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
60809 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
69.4%
-29.6 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
30.7%
+28.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5496 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
98.2%
+3.8 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
1.8%
-3.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
Á. Lizancos · Foul
25'
⚽
P. Alemañ · assist S. Rodelas0–1
30'
R. Alcaraz · Foul
44'
P. Galdames · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
54'
D. González · Foul
55'
🔁
J. Pascual ◂ S. Rodelas
55'
🔁
O. Emeka ◂ M. J. Gambin
59'
VAR
Goal not given after review · A. Flores
64'
🔁
J. Gragera ◂ P. Galdames
64'
🔁
A. Dadie ◂ Á. Lizancos
65'
🔁
J. Karrikaburu ◂ C. Sanchez
68'
🔁
P. Casadesús ◂ S. Lopez
68'
🔁
B. Diallo ◂ D. Pampín
77'
🔁
S. Lencina ◂ Á. Forés
83'
🔁
Chinaza ◂ J. M. Arnáiz
83'
🔁
V. Mollejo ◂ U. Vencedor
Full-time · 0–1
90'
J. Pascual · Foul
90'+3
A. Dadie · Foul
90'+4
🚫
Penalty missed · J. Pascual
90'+5
VAR
Review · B. Diallo
Coaches
Sergio FranciscoPacheta 
Recent form
Burgos Club de FútbolLAAlmería1-2
WHCD Eldense1-0
WAUD Las Palmas2-1
WHAD Ceuta3-1
DAReal Oviedo0-0
GranadaWAReal Sociedad B3-2
LHFC Andorra2-3
LALeganés2-3
DHAlbacete Balompié1-1
LAEibar0-3
About this match
**Burgos are quietly cooking in the Segunda División, and they're about to face a Granada side that can't seem to string results together.** This feels like a golden opportunity for the hosts to extend their strong run. 🔥
Burgos have won three of their last five and look sharp at home, while Granada are spiraling — just one win in five matches and losses piling up against quality opposition. That's a recipe for a mismatch on Monday.
Key storylines:
- **Burgos' attacking threat** through **Karrikaburu** and **D. González** has been the engine room of their recent success
- **Granada's leaky defense** concedes relentlessly and faces a test against a **Burgos** side firing on all cylinders
- Form divergence is stark — Burgos solid, **Granada** stumbling badly
Expected lineups:
- **Burgos Club de Fútbol**: A. Cantero, I. Vilarrasa, S. González, O. Luengo, A. Dadie, J. Llabrés, J. Gragera, U. Vencedor
- **Granada**: R. Lizoain, D. Pampín, M. L. Maroto, B. Gimber, S. Lopez, P. Alemañ, G. Gumbau, R. Alcaraz
Prediction:
**Burgos 2-1 Granada**
Burgos have the edge in momentum and home comfort; Granada's defensive frailty gets exposed. 🎯
Where to watch
DAZN ES
ESPN SelectESPN Unlimited
Match facts
Stadium
Municipal El Plantio
City
Burgos
Kickoff
12 Oct, 14:15 UTC
Competition
Segunda División
Highlights & clips
Burgos Club de Fútbol
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Granada
13
A. Cantero
6.5
23
A. Dadie
6.5
↑ 64'
15
O. Luengo
7.3
8
G. Sierra
7.6
22
B. Martínez
6.8
14
D. González
6.7
20
J. Gragera
6.8
↑ 64'
11
V. Mollejo
6.4
↑ 83'
19
J. Llabrés
7.7
24
S. Lencina
6.7
↑ 77'
7
J. Karrikaburu
6.8
↑ 65'
1
A. Flores
7.7
22
B. Diallo
6.7
↑ 68'
30
J. Flores
7.3
5
M. L. Maroto
7.7
2
P. Casadesús
6.9
↑ 68'
8
P. Alemañ
8.3
4
R. Alcaraz
7.4
6
G. Gumbau
6.7
10
J. Pascual
7.1
↑ 55'
19
Chinaza
6.5
↑ 83'
36
O. Emeka
6.6
↑ 55'
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.66Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.47
23Total shots7
6Shots on target3
1Big chances5
4Corners0
Shots
13Shots off target4
4Blocked shots0
13Shots inside box7
10Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed4
Attack
31Touches in box13
84Final third entries56
3Offsides2
14Free kicks10
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
550Passes313
470Accurate passes247
32/58 (55%)Long balls34/72 (47%)
9/31 (29%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
24Throw-ins23
Duels
51Duels49
39/70 (56%)Ground duels31/70 (44%)
8/23 (35%)Aerial duels15/23 (65%)
6/10 (60%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
13Dispossessed15
Defending
20Tackles17
85Tackles won41
2Interceptions4
9Clearances45
46Recoveries41
Discipline
11Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsBurgos to win (DNB) 67% · 1.78 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.12 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.34 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.27 @ 1xBet
1X2Granada to win 31% · 3.20 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.40 @ William Hill
1X2Burgos to win 39% · 2.90 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.40
Burgos Club de Fútbol
3.10
Draw
2.82
Granada
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Burgos Club de Fútbol or Draw
1.35
Burgos Club de Fútbol or Granada
1.50
Draw or Granada
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.83
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.19
Over 2.50
1.64
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.00
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.75
Burgos Club de Fútbol
1.98
Granada
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.37
Over 7.50
2.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.73
Over 8.50
2.01
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.17
Over 9.50
1.62
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.72
Over 10.50
1.34
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.45
Over 11.50
1.18
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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