Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Cádiz host a vulnerable Sporting Gijón squad** — the visitors are nursing a horror injury list, while the hosts' 4-0 demolition of Leganés shows they've got teeth at home. 🔥
Cádiz are streaky (1W-1D-3L) but just proved they can turn it on; Sporting Gijón's form is equally patchy (2W-0D-3L), though the away trip to Andalusia and that lengthy casualty ward make this a proper uphill battle.
Key storylines:
- **Cádiz's home form** — after hammering Leganés 4-0, the hosts have the momentum and crowd behind them at Nuevo Mirandilla
- **Sporting's injury crisis** — five players ruled out (Casas, Guillamón, Otero, de la Fuente, Martín) leaves the visitors dangerously stretched
- **V. Kopotun and U. Izeta** leading the Cádiz attack against a decimated backline
Expected lineups:
- **Cádiz**: J. Ezkieta, M. Doué, J. Castro, M. Fernández, J. Díaz, D. Rodríguez, J. Orellana, A. Cordero, I. Sánchez, V. Kopotun, U. Izeta
- **Sporting Gijón**: R. Yáñez, P. García, A. Duñabeitia, P. Vázquez, G. Rosas, C. Gelabert, Á. Corredera, M. Rodriguez, M. Loum, A. Sarco, G. Campos
Prediction:
**Cádiz 2–0 Sporting Gijón**. Home edge, momentum, and a visitors' injury list make this a lean toward the hosts.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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