Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Castellón's rolling through Segunda División like they've got something to prove** — four wins in five and a perfect 2-0 record against Andorra. Home side is fragile (1W in 5), and this looks like a mismatch on paper. 📊
Andorra's leaking goals at the Estadi (lost 1-3 to Gijón recently) while Castellón just demolished Tenerife 5-0. Form gap is real here.
Key storylines:
- **CD Castellón** riding a four-game winning streak with clinical finishing — Tenerife got obliterated last time out
- **FC Andorra** desperate for consistency after wobbling through their last five with only one win
- Castellón's recent dominance over Andorra (2-0 head-to-head record) sets the narrative
Expected lineups:
- **FC Andorra**: P. López, M. Vila, M. Bombardo, D. Alende, T. Carrique, S. Molina, E. Akman, M. Doménech, M. Sidibe, J. Cano
- **CD Castellón**: R. Matthys, L. Alcázar, A. Jiménez, A. Sienra, J. Mellot, J. Nieto, D. Barri, Á. Martín, P. Santiago, A. Jakobsen
Prediction:
**CD Castellón 2-0 FC Andorra** — Castellón's form and head-to-head edge make them the clear favorite here. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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