Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Eibar's on a tear, but Mallorca's got the head-to-head edge** — this Segunda División clash at Ipurua is pure intrigue. 🔥
Eibar have won four of their last five and look sharp in attack, while Mallorca are solid (3W-1D-1L) but arrive without three key midfielders. That injury list is *nasty* for the visitors, yet they've dominated this fixture historically — winning four of the last five meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Eibar's form vs Mallorca's curse**: The hosts are flying but keep running into a stubborn Mallorca side that somehow always finds a way, even when short-handed.
- **Midfield meltdown for Mallorca**: Missing A. Roca, J. Salas, and M. Morlanes leaves **S. Darder** and **P. Torre** stretched thin against **J. Guruzeta** and **A. Garrido**.
- **Home advantage matters**: Eibar's last two at Ipurua (3-1 and 3-2 wins) show they're clinical when the crowd's behind them.
Expected lineups:
- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, J. Bernat, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, Á. Rodríguez, A. Garrido, J. Guruzeta, A. Madariaga, M. Ares, J. Bautista
- **Mallorca**: A. Tenas, T. Lato, A. Raíllo, M. Valjent, M. Calatayud, P. Torre, A. Sala, S. Darder, J. Donald, A. Fuentes, A. Liso
Prediction:
**Eibar 2–1 Mallorca**. Form, home turf, and Mallorca's thin midfield give the hosts the edge. 🎯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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