Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Leganés are in free fall, and Córdoba smell the opportunity.** 🔴 This is a Segunda División clash where one team desperately needs a win — and the other has momentum on their side, barely.
Leganés have lost four of their last five and shipped 9 goals in three home games. That's not a typo. Córdoba, meanwhile, just beat **CD Tenerife** 3-2 at home and sit in a completely different headspace. The hosts are wounded; the visitors are hungry.
Key storylines:
- **Leganés' defensive nightmare**: Marvel, L. Aguilar, and I. Miquel are up against a Córdoba side that just flexed offensively — this back line has to tighten fast or it gets worse.
- **Córdoba's attacking teeth**: E. Rodríguez and C. Carracedo can punish a leaky Leganés shape; the visiting attack has shown life.
- **Home advantage under pressure**: Leganés play at Estadio Municipal de Butarque but won't feel safe — one more heavy defeat and the mood turns toxic.
Expected lineups:
- **Leganés**: L. Zidane, Marvel, L. Aguilar, I. Miquel, N. García, I. Gharbi, M. Atienza, Z. Buurmeester, Y. Kechta, P. Soko, Á. Morata
- **Córdoba**: G. Fernandes, D. Tasende, Rubén, Á. Martín, D. Budesca, E. Garcia, I. Ruiz, Y. Diarra, D. Percan, E. Rodríguez, C. Carracedo
Prediction:
**Córdoba 2-1 Leganés.** Leganés have a slight edge in head-to-head history, but form is king — Córdoba's momentum and Leganés' defensive collapse tip the scales.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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