Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Almería's looking unstoppable, and Real Sociedad B? They're leaking goals like a sieve.** 🔥 This is a classic David vs. Goliath moment in Segunda División, except David's been absolutely battered this week.
Real Sociedad B scraped together just one win in five and just got hammered 4-1 away at Celta Fortuna. Almería, meanwhile, are on a pristine **five-game winning streak** and haven't dropped a point all month. The head-to-head tells the whole story too — Almería's won three of the last four meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Almería's attack** keeps finding the net; they've scored in every game this stretch and won't be slowing down against a leaky B-side defence
- **Real Sociedad B's form** is dire — a single win in five games spells serious trouble when facing the league's hottest side
- **Home advantage** rarely matters when one team's clicking and the other's crumbling
Expected lineups:
- **Real Sociedad B**: A. Fraga, J. Balda, K. Kita, I. Calderon, J. Garro, L. Astiazarán
- **Almería**: A. Fernández, Á. Muñoz, F. Bonini, Chumi, D. Chirino, J. Muñoz
Prediction:
**Real Sociedad B 1-3 Almería**. The visitors' momentum and clinical finishing edge out a struggling home side. Almería stays hot.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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