Real Valladolid 2-3 CD Eldense: Stats & xG – Oct 18, 2026

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Segunda División ·Sun 18 Oct

Real Valladolid

2–3

HT 1–2

Full time

CD Eldense

José Zorrilla, Valladolid · Ref: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Real Valladolid 2-3 CD Eldense.

90+5'

M. Carmona

Goal! Real Valladolid 2-3 CD Eldense. M. Carmona (CD Eldense) scores, assisted by A. Olabarrieta.

90+3'

D. Torres

Attempt missed. D. Torres (Real Valladolid), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+2'

S. Jurić

Attempt blocked. S. Jurić (Real Valladolid), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

V. Barberá

Attempt saved. V. Barberá (Real Valladolid), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

87'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

85'

V. Barberá

Attempt missed. V. Barberá (Real Valladolid), header. xG 0.40.

84'

M. Nieto

Off the woodwork! M. Nieto (CD Eldense), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

83'

V. Barberá

Goal! Real Valladolid 2-2 CD Eldense. V. Barberá (Real Valladolid) scores, assisted by T. A. Kassus.

82'

I. Alejo

Yellow card for I. Alejo (Real Valladolid) for argument.

82'

K. de Rooij

Attempt blocked. K. de Rooij (Real Valladolid), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

82'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

81'

J. Larios

Substitution, CD Eldense: I. Recio comes on for J. Larios.

81'

Fidel

Substitution, CD Eldense: M. Nieto comes on for Fidel.

80'

J. Clemente

Attempt missed. J. Clemente (CD Eldense), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

79'

T. A. Kassus

Attempt missed. T. A. Kassus (Real Valladolid), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

78'

J. Larios

Yellow card for J. Larios (CD Eldense) for foul.

78'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

77'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

76'

J. Ponceau

Substitution, Real Valladolid: K. de Rooij comes on for J. Ponceau.

76'

A. Arnu

Substitution, Real Valladolid: R. v. Duiven comes on for A. Arnu.

73'

J. Martínez

Substitution, CD Eldense: J. Martín comes on for J. Martínez.

72'

V. Fernández

Second yellow card for V. Fernández (Real Valladolid), who is sent off.

71'

M. Carmona

Attempt saved. M. Carmona (CD Eldense), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

70'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

69'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

69'

V. Fernández

Attempt blocked. V. Fernández (Real Valladolid), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

V. Barberá

Attempt saved. V. Barberá (Real Valladolid), header. xG 0.07.

66'

Trilli

Substitution, Real Valladolid: I. Alejo comes on for Trilli.

66'

T. Ojeda

Substitution, Real Valladolid: T. A. Kassus comes on for T. Ojeda.

64'

J. Rastrojo

Substitution, CD Eldense: M. Carmona comes on for J. Rastrojo.

64'

J. Smith

Substitution, CD Eldense: M. Bustillo comes on for J. Smith.

62'

J. Rastrojo

Yellow card for J. Rastrojo (CD Eldense) for foul.

61'

J. Rastrojo

Attempt blocked. J. Rastrojo (CD Eldense), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

60'

J. Ponceau

Attempt missed. J. Ponceau (Real Valladolid), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

59'

S. Jurić

Attempt missed. S. Jurić (Real Valladolid), shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

58'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

57'

V. Fernández

Yellow card for V. Fernández (Real Valladolid) for argument.

54'

T. Ojeda

Attempt missed. T. Ojeda (Real Valladolid), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

53'

C. Guirao

Attempt missed. C. Guirao (CD Eldense), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

52'

CD Eldense

Corner, CD Eldense.

49'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

49'

J. Martínez

Attempt missed. J. Martínez (CD Eldense), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

48'

A. Olabarrieta

Attempt missed. A. Olabarrieta (CD Eldense), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

47'

CD Eldense

Corner, CD Eldense.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Real Valladolid 1-2 CD Eldense.

45+5'

T. Ojeda

Yellow card for T. Ojeda (Real Valladolid) for argument.

45+5'

J. Smith

Yellow card for J. Smith (CD Eldense) for argument.

45+4'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

45+1'

A. Olabarrieta

Goal! Real Valladolid 1-2 CD Eldense. A. Olabarrieta (CD Eldense) scores, assisted by R. Vila.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

S. Jurić

Attempt missed. S. Jurić (Real Valladolid), header from a corner. xG 0.45.

45'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

41'

J. Rastrojo

Goal! Real Valladolid 1-1 CD Eldense. J. Rastrojo (CD Eldense) scores, assisted by J. Martínez.

38'

C. Guirao

Attempt missed. C. Guirao (CD Eldense), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

35'

A. Olabarrieta

Attempt saved. A. Olabarrieta (CD Eldense), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

34'

Fidel

Yellow card for Fidel (CD Eldense) for argument.

34'

CD Eldense

Corner, CD Eldense.

31'

CD Eldense

Offside, CD Eldense.

30'

J. Latasa

Substitution, Real Valladolid: V. Barberá comes on for J. Latasa.

23'

A. Arnu

Goal! Real Valladolid 1-0 CD Eldense. A. Arnu (Real Valladolid) scores, assisted by J. Ponceau.

22'

J. Rastrojo

Attempt missed. J. Rastrojo (CD Eldense), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

18'

Real Valladolid

Corner, Real Valladolid.

18'

V. Fernández

Attempt saved. V. Fernández (Real Valladolid), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

T. Ojeda

Attempt blocked. T. Ojeda (Real Valladolid), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

Kick-off: Real Valladolid vs CD Eldense.

Where the money is

354652 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 238964 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

54.4%

-43.6 vs price

Draw 100.0 · implied 1.0%

23.4%

+22.4 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

22.1%

+22.0 vs price

Half time 2597 EUR · live

Home 12.0 · implied 8.3%

42.1%

+33.8 vs price

Away 1.08 · implied 92.6%

39.9%

-52.7 vs price

Draw 13.5 · implied 7.4%

17.9%

+10.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 8988 EUR · live

Over 1.31 · implied 76.3%

71.2%

-5.2 vs price

Under 4.2 · implied 23.8%

28.9%

+5.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 82 EUR

Under 1.12 · implied 89.3%

75.9%

-13.4 vs price

Over 9.2 · implied 10.9%

23.3%

+12.4 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

23' ⚽ A. Arnu · assist J. Ponceau1–0

30' 🔁 V. Barberá ◂ J. Latasa

34' Fidel · Argument

41' ⚽ J. Rastrojo · assist J. Martínez1–1

Half-time · 1–2

45'⁺¹ ⚽ A. Olabarrieta · assist R. Vila1–2

45'⁺⁵ J. Smith · Argument

45'⁺⁵ T. Ojeda · Argument

57' V. Fernández · Argument

62' J. Rastrojo · Foul

64' 🔁 M. Bustillo ◂ J. Smith

64' 🔁 M. Carmona ◂ J. Rastrojo

66' 🔁 T. A. Kassus ◂ T. Ojeda

66' 🔁 I. Alejo ◂ Trilli

72' V. Fernández · Foul

73' 🔁 J. Martín ◂ J. Martínez

76' 🔁 R. v. Duiven ◂ A. Arnu

76' 🔁 K. de Rooij ◂ J. Ponceau

78' J. Larios · Foul

81' 🔁 M. Nieto ◂ Fidel

81' 🔁 I. Recio ◂ J. Larios

82' I. Alejo · Argument

83' ⚽ V. Barberá · assist T. A. Kassus2–2

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ M. Carmona · assist A. Olabarrieta2–3

Coaches

Francisco Escribá Segura

Javier Calleja

Recent form

Real Valladolid

WHAlbacete Balompié5-0

DAUD Las Palmas2-2

WHCórdoba3-1

DAAD Ceuta1-1

LHReal Oviedo0-3

CD Eldense

WHCórdoba2-1

WHReal Oviedo4-1

LABurgos Club de Fútbol0-1

LHEibar1-2

WASporting Gijón1-0

About this match

**Real Valladolid are rolling, and Eldense's mixed form just walked into the worst possible matchup.** Valladolid's 5-0 demolition of Albacete and recent grinding wins look ominous for a visitor who've let in five goals in their last four away fixtures 🔴

Valladolid sit on a dominant streak (2W 2D from last five), while Eldense are streakier — great at home (4-1 over Oviedo) but fragile on the road. The head-to-head tells it all: Valladolid 2, Eldense 0 in recent clashes.

Key storylines:

- **J. Latasa** leads Valladolid's attack and will exploit a backline that's been caught out repeatedly
- **Fidel** is Eldense's creative spark, but containing Valladolid's midfield trio of **J. Ponceau**, **V. Fernández**, and **K. de Rooij** is a massive ask
- Valladolid missing depth in defense with **D. Pérez** and **G. Bueno** sidelined, but still boast the superior XI on paper

Expected lineups:

- **Real Valladolid**: A. A. Catalina, I. G. Muñoz, D. Torres, R. Martínez, I. Alejo, J. Ponceau, V. Fernández, K. de Rooij, L. Chacón, Y. Cabanzón, J. Latasa
- **CD Eldense**: R. Vila, J. Larios, F. Smand, Á. Serradell, J. Clemente, J. Smith, C. Guirao, J. Martín, Fidel, A. Olabarrieta, M. Nieto

Prediction:

**Valladolid 3–1 Eldense.** Strong favorite at home with form and history on their side 💪

Where to watch

DAZN ES

Match facts

Stadium

José Zorrilla

City

Valladolid

Referee

Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos

5.85 yellows/match · 48 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Segunda División

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.93Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.19

16Total shots13

5Shots on target5

2Big chances6

13Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target7

4Blocked shots1

10Shots inside box10

6Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed3

Attack

27Touches in box21

65Final third entries39

2Offsides1

13Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

483Passes385

413Accurate passes315

29/53 (55%)Long balls17/46 (37%)

7/35 (20%)Crosses7/14 (50%)

26Throw-ins11

Duels

49Duels51

35/70 (50%)Ground duels35/70 (50%)

12/25 (48%)Aerial duels13/25 (52%)

4/14 (29%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)

9Dispossessed11

Defending

19Tackles19

63Tackles won63

9Interceptions13

21Clearances51

46Recoveries49

Discipline

10Fouls13

4Yellow cards4

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

0Big saves1

9Goal kicks8

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Valladolid 46%

28%

Eldense 25%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.46 @ 1xBet

Who winsValladolid to win (DNB) 61% · 1.41 @ Betsson

1X2Valladolid to win 46% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.32 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.73 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.33 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ William Hill

1X2Eldense to win 25% · 4.00 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.90

Real Valladolid

3.27

Draw

3.90

CD Eldense

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Real Valladolid or Draw

1.27

Real Valladolid or CD Eldense

1.85

Draw or CD Eldense

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.90

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.35

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.81

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.28

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.10

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.37

Real Valladolid

2.85

CD Eldense

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.39

Over 7.50

2.53

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.71

Over 8.50

2.00

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.13

Over 9.50

1.65

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.80

Over 10.50

1.33

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.55

Over 11.50

1.17

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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