Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Castellón's hosting a Sporting side that looks unstoppable right now** — the visitors are rolling with four wins in their last five, but Castellón's no pushover at home either. 🔥 This one's got serious teeth.
Castellón's been sharp lately (3W in their last 5) and know the Castalia well, while Sporting arrive in brutal form but are riding a five-game stretch of pure dominance. The head-to-head leans Sporting's way historically, though that single draw hints at unpredictability.
Key storylines:
- **Sporting's injury pile-up** – five players out (Casas, Otero, de la Fuente, Martín, Iosifov) is a real hit to depth, especially midfield
- **Castellón's home fortress** – they've won three of their last five at Castalia; Sporting must break that pattern
- **Rêgo and Jakobsen leading the line** for Castellón against a Sporting defense stretched thin
Expected lineups:
- **CD Castellón**: R. Matthys, L. Alcázar, A. Sienra, A. Jiménez, J. Mellot, I. Suero, D. Barri, Á. Martín, P. Santiago, A. Jakobsen, R. Rêgo
- **Sporting Gijón**: R. Yáñez, P. García, A. Duñabeitia, A. Cuenca, G. Rosas, C. Gelabert, Á. Corredera, M. Rodriguez, G. Campos, A. Sarco, C. Ferreres
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Sporting's form is scary, but Castellón's home edge and Sporting's injury toll level this one into a coin flip.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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