Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Córdoba's hot streak meets Eibar's bogey men** — the hosts are flying at home, but the visitors have owned this fixture for the better part of a decade. 🔥
Córdoba have won 3 of their last 5 and look sharp at the Arcángel, while Eibar are also in decent form with 3 wins in five. The catch? Eibar hold a **6-1 head-to-head edge** over these two teams' recent meetings. That's the kind of intel that stings.
Key storylines:
- **Córdoba's attack** has been clinical at home — **D. Percan**, **C. Carracedo**, and **S. E. Jebari** form a potent front three, but they'll face a compact Eibar defense
- **Eibar's midfield balance** relies on **A. Garrido** and **J. Guruzeta** controlling tempo; losing **M. Ares** to suspension is a minor blow to depth
- **J. Martí's absence** (ACL) hurts Córdoba's depth in midfield, forcing more reliance on **Y. Diarra** and **I. Ruiz** to carry play
Expected lineups:
- **Córdoba**: I. Álvarez, D. Tasende, Rubén, Á. Martín, D. Budesca, Y. Diarra, I. Ruiz, E. Garcia, S. E. Jebari, D. Percan, C. Carracedo
- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, J. Bernat, A. Arbilla, U. Elgezabal, Á. Rodríguez, A. Garrido, J. Guruzeta, I. Gil, A. Madariaga, Pejiño, J. Bautista
Prediction:
**1-2 Eibar**. Home form is tempting, but Eibar's historical edge and balanced setup give them a slight lean. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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