Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Las Palmas are limping but still favorites against a Real Sociedad B side in total freefall.** Both teams are struggling — but one's at least picked up a draw recently. 🔴
Las Palmas have won the last two head-to-heads and hold a strong record against Sociedad B overall. That said, they're hemorrhaging injuries across the board and have just one draw in their last five. Real Sociedad B, meanwhile, are winless in five and leaking goals at an alarming rate — they've shipped 16 in those five matches alone.
Key storylines:
- **Las Palmas' injury crisis** is brutal with Clemente, Recoba, Jesé, Ramírez, and Ruiz all sidelined, forcing the hosts to scrape together a makeshift XI
- **Real Sociedad B's defensive fragility** has become a pattern; they've conceded 4+ goals in three of their last five outings
- **Home advantage and H2H form** gives Las Palmas a clear edge in this heavyweight-vs-featherweight matchup
Expected lineups:
- **UD Las Palmas**: J. Caro, G. Bonfanti, A. Suárez, J. Herzog, V. Pezzolesi, M. Fuster, T. Miyashiro, E. Loiodice, K. Rodríguez, I. Jaime
- **Real Sociedad B**: A. Fraga, J. Balda, K. Kita, I. Calderon, J. Garro, L. Astiazarán, T. Carbonell, I. Aguirre, G. Gorosabel
Prediction:
**Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad B.** Despite the injury toll, Las Palmas' home form and Sociedad B's leaky backline make this a slight lean for the hosts. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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