Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Eibar hosts a red-hot Almería side that's basically playing free football right now.** This looks like a classic banana-skin fixture — the home team's form is shaky while the visitors are on an absolute tear. 🔥
Eibar have won just two of their last five and took a hammering at Oviedo; Almería, meanwhile, have won four straight and are knocking in goals for fun. The hosts will be without three defenders, which is never ideal when facing a team this clinical.
Key storylines:
- **Almería's momentum machine** keeps rolling with four wins in five — they're the form pick in this division right now
- **Eibar's defensive woes** get worse with A. Arbilla, J. Bernat, and U. Elgezabal all out; that's a skeleton crew at the back
- **Head-to-head edge to Eibar**, but that doesn't count for much when one team shows up flying and the other is limping
Expected lineups:
- **Eibar**: J. M. Magunagoitia, I. G. d. Albéniz, M. Arana, Jair, Á. Rodríguez, A. Garrido, J. Guruzeta, J. Bautista
- **Almería**: A. Fernández, F. Bonini, S. Džodić, Á. Muñoz, D. Chirino, J. Muñoz, Q. Junyent, N. Melamed
Prediction:
**Almería 2–1 Eibar.** Almería have the slight edge; Eibar's injury list and current form make them vulnerable at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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