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José Luis Sánchez Vera
Madrid CFF
Granada Club de Fútbol
Madrid CFF
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Granada Club de Fútbol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4658 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.4%
-3.6 vs price
Draw
490.0 · implied 0.2%
2.7%
+2.5 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
2.0%
+1.0 vs price
Half time
164 EUR · live
Away
3.6 · implied 27.8%
59.9%
+32.1 vs price
Draw
21.0 · implied 4.8%
44.0%
+39.2 vs price
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
36.6%
-58.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7858 EUR · live
Over
2.12 · implied 47.2%
78.8%
+31.6 vs price
Under
1.8 · implied 55.6%
21.3%
-34.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
66 EUR · live
Over
2.1 · implied 47.6%
75.9%
+28.3 vs price
Under
1.41 · implied 70.9%
22.8%
-48.2 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
S. O. Diki1–0
23'
⚽
K. Taylor · assist A. Gonzalez2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
J. Cardozo · Foul
46'
🔁
B. Muñoz ◂ R. Gil
46'
🔁
M. Aymerich ◂ M. Rivas
46'
🔁
Debora ◂ A. R. Soto
57'
🔁
I. Santiago ◂ V. Molina
61'
🔁
M. Hickmann ◂ R. Carrasco
62'
🔁
E. Guridi ◂ M. Ito
74'
🔁
A. Herrera ◂ E. Nautnes
75'
⚽
A. Herrera · assist R. Lejeune3–0
76'
🔁
A. Martos ◂ W. Fon
80'
M. Hickmann · Foul
80'
🔁
P. León ◂ E. Holt
Full-time · 3–1
90'+1
⚽
E. Guridi · assist D. Miñambres3–1
Coaches
José Luis Sánchez VeraAdrián Martín Martín 
Recent form
Madrid CFFLHFútbol Club Barcelona0-4
WAGranada Club de Fútbol4-3
WHSevilla FC2-0
LALogroño United0-3
LAReal Sociedad0-2
Granada Club de FútbolLAReal Madrid0-2
LHMadrid CFF3-4
LAReal Sociedad0-3
DHCosta Adeje Tenerife1-1
WAAthletic Club2-1
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Madrid CFF
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Granada Club de Fútbol
13
B. d. Gracia
7.2
4
S. Villafañe
6.7
2
K. Taylor
7.8
12
R. Lejeune
6.7
5
M. Hickmann
6.1
↑ 61'
6
A. Gonzalez
7.3
10
Debora
7.4
↑ 46'
7
S. O. Diki
8.2
29
M. Aymerich
6.3
↑ 46'
9
P. León
6.5
↑ 80'
17
A. Herrera
7.7
↑ 74'
26
A. I. Molino
6.4
18
B. Muñoz
6.9
↑ 46'
4
J. T. L. Velasquez
6.0
20
J. Cardozo
6.0
2
T. Mérida
6.3
21
P. Perea
5.4
6
D. Miñambres
6.8
8
E. Guridi
7.2
↑ 62'
22
M: C. Leles
6.9
7
I. Santiago
6.3
↑ 57'
29
A. Martos
6.5
↑ 76'
Substitutes
31GN. Troncoso
11MA. R. Soto↓ 46'7.2
14MR. Carrasco↓ 61'7.1
8ME. Holt↓ 80'6.8
21MM. Rivas↓ 46'6.5
24MH. Ubamba
23FE. Nautnes↓ 74'5.8
Coach: José Luis Sánchez Vera
Substitutes
13GY. G. Camino
10MV. Molina↓ 57'6.4
14MM. Ito↓ 62'6.3
28MM. Zafra
19FR. Gil↓ 46'6.2
23FW. Fon↓ 76'6.1
24FG. Álvarez
Coach: Adrián Martín Martín
Top stats
55%Possession45%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.05
10Total shots9
6Shots on target3
2Big chances1
3Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target5
0Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
0.3Goals prevented-0.69
Attack
16Touches in box24
54Final third entries45
2Offsides2
10Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
494Passes400
380Accurate passes295
22/61 (36%)Long balls18/45 (40%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses3/23 (13%)
21Throw-ins37
Duels
54Duels46
36/68 (53%)Ground duels32/68 (47%)
7/11 (64%)Aerial duels4/11 (36%)
11/18 (61%)Dribbles3/7 (43%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
15Tackles17
60Tackles won88
11Interceptions14
21Clearances9
72Recoveries55
Discipline
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
11Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 8 bookmakers
1X2Granada CF to win 38% · 2.35 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69%
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.70 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57%
1X2Draw 27% · 3.30 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54%
Who winsMadrid CFF to win (DNB) 52% · 1.92 @ Novibet
1X2Madrid CFF to win 35% · 2.55 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.55
Madrid CFF
3.30
Draw
2.35
Granada Club de Fútbol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.02
No
Draw No Betconsensus
1.91
Madrid CFF
1.79
Granada Club de Fútbol
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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