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Gorka Álvarez
Real Sociedad
Logroño United
Real Sociedad
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Logroño United
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2923 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
48.5%
-50.5 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
44.7%
+44.6 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
6.7%
-0.7 vs price
Half time
59 EUR · live
Away
7.6 · implied 13.2%
69.4%
+56.3 vs price
Home
2.26 · implied 44.2%
28.8%
-15.5 vs price
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5471 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
82.9%
-12.3 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
18.3%
+15.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
230 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
70.8%
-16.2 vs price
Over
10.5 · implied 9.5%
28.7%
+19.1 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
N. Eizagirre · Argument
26'
VAR
Review · C. Ongaro
42'
C. Marcos · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
54'
E. L. Cabanillas · Foul
59'
🔁
F. Mawete ◂ M. Barquero
59'
🔁
P. Fernández ◂ E. L. Cabanillas
59'
🔁
A. Aparicio ◂ L. Camino
67'
🔁
A. Isasisasmendi ◂ C. Marcos
67'
🔁
A. Marín ◂ A. Seelenfreund
71'
🔁
X. Velazco ◂ A. Franco
71'
🔁
C. Redondo ◂ M. Asenjo
76'
⚽
F. Mawete · assist C. Ongaro0–1
83'
🔁
A. C. Franco ◂ I. S. Moure
85'
🔁
C. Yeboah ◂ C. Ongaro
85'
🔁
L. Martínez ◂ J. Morcillo
Full-time · 0–2
90'+4
⚽
C. Redondo · assist X. Velazco0–2
90'+6
VAR
Goal awarded · C. Redondo
Coaches
Santi García 
Recent form
WHClub Atlético de Madrid2-0
LAFútbol Club Barcelona1-2
WHGranada Club de Fútbol3-0
WAReal Club Deportivo de A Coruña2-1
WHMadrid CFF2-0
LASD Eibar1-2
LHAthletic Club0-2
WALevante UD4-1
WHMadrid CFF3-0
DAReal Madrid1-1
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Highlights & clips
13
J. Arrula
6.1
5
P. Fernández
6.9
↑ 59'
20
A. C. Franco
6.7
↑ 83'
4
N. Aparicio
6.3
3
A. V. Moraza
6.1
10
N. Eizagirre
6.8
22
K. Cahynova
7.0
19
A. Aparicio
6.6
↑ 59'
27
A. Isasisasmendi
6.5
↑ 67'
14
I. Egiguren
6.9
8
A. Marín
6.7
↑ 67'
13
M. Miralles
7.5
12
C. Yeboah
6.8
↑ 85'
23
R. C. d. Silva
6.5
8
M. M. Cruz
7.0
11
A. Leitner
6.7
6
L. Martínez
6.8
↑ 85'
14
D. Falfán
7.2
10
Isina
7.1
15
X. Velazco
6.8
↑ 71'
25
C. Redondo
7.5
↑ 71'
17
F. Mawete
7.8
↑ 59'
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.47
12Total shots11
4Shots on target4
0Big chances2
6Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
-1.15Goals prevented0.62
Attack
29Touches in box14
71Final third entries46
2Offsides1
9Free kicks9
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
546Passes272
463Accurate passes184
27/58 (47%)Long balls24/63 (38%)
9/21 (43%)Crosses6/12 (50%)
35Throw-ins19
Duels
53Duels47
34/68 (50%)Ground duels34/68 (50%)
14/23 (61%)Aerial duels9/23 (39%)
14/27 (52%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
11Tackles22
100Tackles won82
12Interceptions13
19Clearances38
44Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
3Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 12 bookmakers
1X2R. Sociedad to win 73% · 1.25 @ Bet365
Who winsR. Sociedad to win (DNB) 85% · 1.12 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.88 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69%
1X2Draw 17% · 5.50 @ Bet365
1X2Logroño to win 10% · 9.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.25
Real Sociedad
5.50
Draw
9.00
Logroño United
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.80
No
Draw No Betconsensus
1.08
Real Sociedad
6.00
Logroño United
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Real Sociedad to win or draw
✗
90% confidence
Real Sociedad to avoid defeat
✗
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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