Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Madrid looking to stay hot**, but Sevilla's got some nasty history in this matchup and will be hungry to bounce back after that Barcelona drubbing. 🔥
Madrid's on a tear — **3 wins in their last 4** including back-to-back 3-1 victories. Sevilla, meanwhile, are grinding it out inconsistently (1W-2D-2L), though they did nick a win vs Deportivo recently. The twist? **Sevilla lead the all-time head-to-head 8-6**, so they know how to trouble Madrid.
Key storylines:
- **E. Nautnes** and **Debora** firing upfront for Madrid; Sevilla's back line led by **A. Marques** and **I. Álvarez** will need discipline
- Madrid's midfield balance with **K. Taylor** holding and **A. Gonzalez** threading play has been the difference
- **A. Redondo** and **R. Márquez** anchoring Sevilla's middle three — can they disrupt Madrid's rhythm?
Expected lineups:
- **Madrid CFF**: P. Ulloa, M. Rivas, M. Hickmann, S. Villafañe, A. R. Soto, K. Taylor, A. Gonzalez, S. O. Diki, Debora, A. Herrera, E. Nautnes
- **Sevilla FC**: E. Sullastres, R. M. Aparicio, A. Marques, I. Álvarez, A. López, A. Redondo, R. Márquez, I. A. Gil, X. Barrios, A. Álvarez, F. Kanteh
Prediction:
**Madrid CFF 2-1 Sevilla FC** — Madrid's form is too sharp right now, but Sevilla's historical edge and scrappiness keep this interesting. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.