Expected goals (xG) flow
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**Eibar's rolling, Badalona's wobbling — this looks like a punish-a-cold-streak affair.** 🔴 The Basques haven't dropped a game in five matches, while Badalona's won just two of their last five and look shaky on the road.
Eibar's defensive spine is holding strong (blanking Real Madrid away is *chef's kiss*), and **C. Álvarez** is carrying the goal load up front. Badalona have shown they can nick wins away — beat Espanyol and Levante — but they've also leaked three to Athletic Club, which is never a vibe.
Key storylines:
- **Eibar's unbeaten run** meets a Badalona side that's 1-3 in five and picking the wrong moments to crumble
- **C. Álvarez** leading the line for Eibar against a Badalona backline that's given up 3 in one outing this month
- Dead even in H2H (2-2-2 record) — no history tilt either way, so form is king
Expected lineups:
- **SD Eibar**: Wellmann, Bélem, Masegur, Andrés, Ortíz, Zumárraga, Fernández, Torres, Moreno, Sánchez, Álvarez
- **FC Badalona**: Valenzuela, Barclais, Pitarch, Pujadas, P. Moreno, Navarro, Llompart, Requena, Sánchez, Julve, Uribe
Prediction:
**Eibar 2-0** — momentum and defensive solidity edge out a Badalona side that hasn't found their feet yet. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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