Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Madrid CFF are rolling, but Alavés have actually found their feet** — this shouldn't be a blowout despite the league table gap. 🔥
Madrid sit unbeaten in their last three, bouncing back hard from that brutal Espanyol hammering. Alavés, meanwhile, have won two of their last five and just took down Atlético; they're scrappy enough to trouble anyone on their day.
Key storylines:
- **Madrid's attacking rhythm** vs **Alavés's defensive solidity** — CFF want to build on recent form, but Alavés have shown they can grind out results
- **E. Nautnes and M. Aymerich** spearheading Madrid's offense against a back line led by **L. P. Cañueto** and **I. J. Altamira**
- **K. Shinji** and **N. López** in midfield will be crucial for Alavés to disrupt Madrid's build-up play
Expected lineups:
- **Madrid CFF**: P. Ulloa, M. Rivas, S. Villafañe, M. Hickmann, R. Lejeune, A. Gonzalez, K. Taylor, S. O. Diki, H. Ubamba, M. Aymerich, E. Nautnes
- **Deportivo Alavés**: S. Fuente, Pichi, L. P. Cañueto, I. J. Altamira, H. A. E. Haj, K. Shinji, N. López, J. Vidal, C. Sobrón, A. Gómez, K. Z. Brima
Prediction:
**Madrid CFF 2–1 Deportivo Alavés**. Madrid edge it at home, but Alavés make them sweat. 💪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.